2 de Mayo vs Guaraní: match statistics
2 de Mayo vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
2 de Mayo played against Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
2 de Mayo has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Guaraní has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
2 de Mayo scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.82. Guaraní scores 1.35 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of 2 de Mayo's games and 47% of Guaraní's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 41%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Guaraní has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.02 per game. 2 de Mayo takes 10.1 shots per game, while Guaraní takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
2 de Mayo leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Guaraní leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
2 de Mayo's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Guaraní, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guaraní appears to be the favorite: the visitors have 6 wins and 23 goals this season, and in the last 5 matches they recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per game. 2 de Mayo has only 3 wins and 12 goals this season; in their last five fixtures they are winless (0-1-4), averaging 0.2 points and conceding as many as 15 goals (3.0 per game). In attack the visitors are more efficient: Guaraní scores 1.13 goals on average away versus the hosts’ 0.63 at home, and the visitors’ away xG is 1.16 compared to the hosts’ 0.94. The visitors also have better conversion (11% vs 6%), more on-target shots per game away (3.38 vs 2.38) and a higher clean sheet rate (38% vs 25%), and in the last 5 matches they have conceded only 2 goals versus 15 for 2 de Mayo. Considering the points average (2.0 vs 0.2), the xG advantage (1.16 vs 0.94) and the hosts’ significantly worse defensive form, I forecast a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators show a moderate chance of both teams scoring: 2 de Mayo has BTTS at 44%, Guaraní 50%, and the league average is 50%. In the last 5 matches there is a clear contrast — 2 de Mayo registers BTTS in 60% and has conceded 15 goals total (3.0 per game), while Guaraní has BTTS 20% and conceded only 2 goals in those 5 fixtures (0.4 per game). Seasonal offensive xG values are 1.37 for 2 de Mayo and 1.16 for Guaraní, with xG against at 1.33 (home) versus 1.29 (away), indicating chance creation and concession. Additionally, the hosts average 4.67 shots on target versus the visitors' 3.38, and clean sheets occur in 33% and 38% of matches respectively, which supports the occurrence of Goal/Goal. Considering 2 de Mayo's weak defense in the last 5 matches (3.0 conceded per game) and the fact that Guaraní scores on average 1.0 goal in those games with a seasonal BTTS of 50%, I predict BTTS - Yes with a probability of 64% versus 36%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and defensive profiles yields expected goals: 2 de Mayo 1.33 and Guaraní 1.25, total 2.58. Offensive xG are 1.37 (2 de Mayo) and 1.16 (Guaraní), while conceded xG are 1.29 (Guaraní) and 1.33 (2 de Mayo), supporting the adopted mean. From a Poisson distribution, a total of 2.58 corresponds to roughly a 73% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 48% for 3+ goals (Over 2.5) and about 26% for 4+ (Over 3.5). Seasonal metrics confirm the edge for Over 1.5: 2 de Mayo has 78% of home matches over 1.5, Guaraní 63% on the road, and the league averages 2.42 goals per game. Additionally, in the last 5 matches 2 de Mayo conceded on average 3.0 goals at home (15 conceded in 5), while Guaraní shows better away form (0.4 conceded in the last 5), which nevertheless does not reduce the combined expected goals; therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from the first half: 2 de Mayo led at the break in 44% of matches, while Guaraní led in only 13% of games, so HT/FT favors the home side at half-time. Over full matches, the hosts have 56% home wins versus just 13% away wins for Guaraní, increasing the likelihood they will maintain the lead through full-time. Additionally, home xG is 1.37 vs 1.16 for the visitors, average shots on target 4.67 vs 3.38 and a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 11%), which supports the scenario that 2 de Mayo will create and convert more chances. Although Guaraní have better recent form in the last five matches (60% wins vs 0% for the hosts), first-half and HT data (scoredAVGHT_home 0.56 vs 0.50 and concededAVGHT_home 0.33 vs 0.63) argue for a 1/1 outcome, which I assign a 38% probability. For balance I assign 25% to a level full-time draw (FT=X) and 22% to an away win (FT=2), allocating the remaining scenarios according to the distribution of half-time results.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| 2 de Mayo | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Guaraní is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - 2 de Mayo · 2 pts / game - Guaraní
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 90% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - 2 de Mayo · 1.35 goals / game - Guaraní
Guaraní is 72% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.82 goals / game - 2 de Mayo · 1.06 goals / game - Guaraní
2 de Mayo scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
Guaraní scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while 2 de Mayo keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 2 de Mayo
Over / Under - Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guaraní is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - 2 de Mayo · 1.35 pts / game - Guaraní
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
2 de Mayo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
2 de Mayo
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| 2 de Mayo | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.53 | 2.45 | • 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 41% | 41% | • 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 60% | • 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from 2 de Mayo's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Guaraní. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of 2 de Mayo vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished 2 de Mayo 2:2 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 2 de Mayo and Guaraní?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches 2 de Mayo won 2, Guaraní won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 2 de Mayo vs Guaraní?
2 de Mayo score 0.71 goals per game on average and Guaraní 1.35. The Division Profesional average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 47% of 2 de Mayo's matches and 47% of Guaraní's.
What form are 2 de Mayo and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games 2 de Mayo have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Guaraní 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 2 de Mayo vs Guaraní?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for 2 de Mayo vs Guaraní: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.