22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors: match statistics
22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
22 de Julio played against Independiente Juniors in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
22 de Julio has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Independiente Juniors has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
22 de Julio scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 1.22. Independiente Juniors scores 1.33 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.02 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of 22 de Julio's games and 78% of Independiente Juniors's. The Over 2.5 rates are 22% and 56%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Independiente Juniors has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.09 per game. 22 de Julio takes 5.2 shots per game, while Independiente Juniors takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
22 de Julio leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. Independiente Juniors leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
22 de Julio's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Independiente Juniors, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera Categoría Serie B games average 2.02 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Juniors are clear favorites: they sit 3rd with a season record of 4-4-1 and 12 goals scored vs 9 conceded, while 22 de Julio are 10th with a 2-3-4 record and 6 scored vs 11 conceded. The form gap is evident — the visitors have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches and average 1.8 points in that period, whereas the hosts have scored only 2 goals, have not won any of their last five and average 0.4 points. Offensively Independiente away average 1.25 goals per match with xG 1.43, 3.75 shots on target and a conversion rate of about 14%, while 22 de Julio at home record 0.6 goals per match, xG 1.21 and only 2 shots on target, and fail to score in 60% of home games. Defensively the hosts are solid at home — conceding 0.4 goals per match and keeping 60% clean sheets, whereas Independiente away concede 1.25 goals and have 25% clean sheets, which may limit the margin of the hosts' defeat. Considering the visitors' superiority in cutting edge and points stability (8 vs 2 goals in the last five and 1.8 vs 0.4 points), the forecast is a win for Independiente Juniors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: 22 de Julio 80% and Independiente Juniors 75%, providing a strong signal that matches typically see goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Independiente has BTTS 100% and scored 8 goals (avg. 1.6 per match), while 22 de Julio has 40% BTTS and only 2 goals in the last 5 (0.4 per match), so the visitors are in better attacking form. xG indicates genuine scoring opportunities: xG for 1.33 for the home side versus 1.43 for the visitors, and xG against 1.18 and 1.44 respectively, which together with 10.4/9.25 shots and 4.4/3.75 shots on target generates chances for both teams. Low clean sheet percentages of 20% (home) and 25% (away) further increase the probability of both teams scoring, therefore I rate BTTS - Yes at approximately 78% versus 22% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal goal averages are 1.4 for 22 de Julio and 1.25 for Independiente Juniors (total 2.65), while xG indicates 1.33 for the home side and 1.43 for the away side, totaling 2.76 expected goals. Both teams have high Over 1.5 rates: 80% for the home team and 75% for the visitors, and BTTS occurs in 80% of the home team’s matches and 75% of the visitors’ matches, which increases the chance of at least two goals. The 2.5 line has moderate support — Over 2.5 occurred this season in 60% of home matches and 50% of away matches, and the combined xG of 2.76 slightly favors exceeding 2.5, but the home side’s last 5 games show a drop in efficiency (averaging 0.4 goals in the last 5), which lowers confidence. Due to strong seasonal Over 1.5 indicators and the aggregate xG, I recommend the over on the 1.5 line (the strongest signal); I assess the probability of Over 1.5 at ~82%, Over 2.5 at ~58% and Over 3.5 at ~15%. Additionally, the home team averages 4.4 shots on target versus 3.75 for the visitors and has a conversion rate of ~13% vs 14%, which supports the thesis that goal-scoring opportunities will be generated in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears to be the most frequent scenario: the home team were level at the break in 60% of matches, and the visitors in 75% of their games. After the break 22 de Julio holds the advantage — the hosts score an average of 1.0 goals in second halves and win 60% of second halves, while Independiente Juniors score an average of 0.5 goals after the break and win only 25% of such halves; additionally both teams have a high percentage of games where both sides scored (hosts 80%, visitors 75%). Seasonal metrics confirm the home advantage: the home-side average points are 2.2 per match versus 1.25 for the visitors, and the home win rate is 60% compared to 25% for the away side. However, one must account for the hosts’ poorer form in the last five rounds — only 0.4 points per match versus 1.8 points for the visitors — and that the visitors led at the break in 60% of their last five matches, which reduces confidence in the forecast. As a result the most reliable scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1), so I select X/1 as the priority pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| 22 de Julio | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 21% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.60 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Independiente Juniors is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - 22 de Julio · 1.8 pts / game - Independiente Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Juniors is 99% better for: goals scored per game.
0.67 goals / game - 22 de Julio · 1.33 goals / game - Independiente Juniors
Independiente Juniors is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - 22 de Julio · 1 goals / game - Independiente Juniors
22 de Julio scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 meczów), while Independiente Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).
Independiente Juniors scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 meczów), while 22 de Julio keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 22 de Julio
Over / Under - Independiente Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Independiente Juniors is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - 22 de Julio · 1.33 pts / game - Independiente Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
22 de Julio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Independiente Juniors - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
22 de Julio
Independiente Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 22 de Julio | Liga | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.89 | 2.02 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 34% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 66% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from 22 de Julio's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Independiente Juniors. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of 22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 22 de Julio 0:1 Independiente Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 22 de Julio and Independiente Juniors?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches 22 de Julio won 1, Independiente Juniors won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors?
22 de Julio score 0.67 goals per game on average and Independiente Juniors 1.33. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 33% of 22 de Julio's matches and 78% of Independiente Juniors's.
What form are 22 de Julio and Independiente Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games 22 de Julio have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Juniors 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors?
The statistical background for 22 de Julio vs Independiente Juniors — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.