9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC: match statistics
9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
9 de Octubre played against Gualaceo SC in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The game was played on July 11, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
9 de Octubre has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Gualaceo SC has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
9 de Octubre scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 0.73. Gualaceo SC scores 0.81 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 1.96 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of 9 de Octubre's games and 31% of Gualaceo SC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 13%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
9 de Octubre has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.21 per game. 9 de Octubre takes 9.8 shots per game, while Gualaceo SC takes 7.3.
First-half and second-half trends
9 de Octubre leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Gualaceo SC leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
9 de Octubre's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Gualaceo SC, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera Categoría Serie B games average 1.96 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
9 de Octubre has a clear home advantage: they average 2.0 goals per game, 12.38 shots (4.75 on target) and a 16% conversion rate, while Gualaceo on the road records only 0.71 goals, 8.5 shots and an 8% conversion. The quality of chances also favors the hosts — home xG is 1.48 per game versus 1.15 xG for Gualaceo, and hosts have conceded only 0.87 xG at home compared to 1.19 xG conceded by the visitors away. Nominal goals conceded are similar (1.13 vs 1.14), but 9 de Octubre has 38% clean sheets and 0% of home games without scoring, whereas Gualaceo have 14% clean sheets and 43% of away matches without a goal. Recent form of the last five matches, however, favors the visitors — Gualaceo have won 4 of 5 and average 2.4 points per game, while 9 de Octubre have 1 win and 4 draws (1.4 PPG) — this represents a risk factor for the hosts. Considering the home advantage in chance creation and conversion (xG 1.48 vs 1.15, efficiency 16% vs 8%), strong home metrics (75% home wins and a +7 goal differential) and greater attacking consistency at home (0% FTS), I favor a 9 de Octubre victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The edge points toward Both Teams To Score being unlikely: 9 de Octubre concedes on average 0.25 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 75% of home fixtures, while their seasonal BTTS rate at home is only 13%. Gualaceo has a seasonal BTTS of 57% with averages of 0.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, but in the visitors’ last 5 matches BTTS occurred in only 20% and they conceded on average 0.4 goals, which lowers the BTTS probability for this meeting. xG indicates moderate goal production: home xG 1.28 vs away xG 1.15, the league averages 2.0 goals per match and has a high clean sheet rate of 74%, favoring single-scorer games. Although the visitors register more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.14), the visitors’ lower efficiency (8% conversion vs hosts’ 14%) and the historical defensive resilience of the home side make the "No" (No Goal / clean sheet expected) selection the stronger signal (approximately 75% vs 25%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected goals estimate is 1.24 for 9 de Octubre and 1.13 for Gualaceo (total 2.37); that total yields roughly a 69% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) in a Poisson model. However, 9 de Octubre concede only 0.25 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 75% of home matches, with their season games never exceeding 2.5 goals (100% under 2.5), which reduces the likelihood of Over 2.5. Gualaceo, on the other hand, have 71% of away matches with at least 1.5 goals and average 0.71 goals scored away, and their last 5 games show xG_for 1.17, so the visitors are a real source of additional goals. As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: back Over at 1.5), while Over 2.5 is assessed at about a 42% chance and Over 3.5 at about a 22% chance due to the hosts' defensive form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
9 de Octubre holds a clear advantage: the hosts won 63% of their matches this season and average 2.13 points per game, and they led at the break in 50% of fixtures, scoring an average of 0.63 goals and conceding only 0.13 by halftime. Their xG is 1.28 versus Gualaceo’s 1.15, with a shot conversion rate of 14% vs 8% and an average of 3.14 shots on target, indicating greater efficiency in front of goal. Gualaceo posts weaker season metrics (0.86 points per game and only 14% away wins), although in short-term form they have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and in that run frequently led at the break (60%). Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 75% of matches (88% clean sheets at half-time) and concede just 0.25 goals per game, so the strongest signal is the hosts leading at the break and winning after full-time (HT/FT 1/1). The probability distribution also accounts for realistic but smaller chances of a draw (around 25% overall) and an away win (around 12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| 9 de Octubre | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gualaceo SC is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - 9 de Octubre · 1.8 pts / game - Gualaceo SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
9 de Octubre is 57% better for: goals scored per game.
1.27 goals / game - 9 de Octubre · 0.81 goals / game - Gualaceo SC
9 de Octubre scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Gualaceo SC keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).
Gualaceo SC scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 9 de Octubre
Over / Under - Gualaceo SC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gualaceo SC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
9 de Octubre
Gualaceo SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 9 de Octubre | Liga | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.00 | 1.96 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 41% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 32% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 36% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from 9 de Octubre's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Gualaceo SC. Games average 2.80 goals, and both teams scored in 20% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 9 de Octubre 0:0 Gualaceo SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 9 de Octubre and Gualaceo SC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 3, Gualaceo SC won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
9 de Octubre score 1.27 goals per game on average and Gualaceo SC 0.81. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 40% of 9 de Octubre's matches and 31% of Gualaceo SC's.
What form are 9 de Octubre and Gualaceo SC in?
Over the last 5 games 9 de Octubre have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Gualaceo SC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.