AaB vs Esbjerg: match statistics
AaB is showing solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per home game, along with a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts dominate possession (53%) and exhibit higher shot accuracy (14%) as well as better xG (1.6) in home matches. Despite being third in the table, Esbjerg has poor away form – a 50% loss rate and only 1.2 goals per game, with a zero draw rate away from home. The recent form of both teams is low (AaB: 0.4 PPG, Esbjerg: 1.4 PPG), but the home advantage in head-to-head meetings and xG statistics are in AaB's favor. Considering all factors, AaB has a realistic chance of victory, although their poor recent form could result in a draw or an upset from the visitors.
AaB vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AaB played against Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
AaB has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Esbjerg has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
AaB scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.43. Esbjerg scores 1.48 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of AaB's games and 52% of Esbjerg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 48%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Esbjerg has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.51 per game. AaB takes 13.2 shots per game, while Esbjerg takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
AaB leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Esbjerg leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
AaB's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Esbjerg, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AaB is showing solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per home game, along with a positive goal difference of +7. The hosts dominate possession (53%) and exhibit higher shot accuracy (14%) as well as better xG (1.6) in home matches. Despite being third in the table, Esbjerg has poor away form – a 50% loss rate and only 1.2 goals per game, with a zero draw rate away from home. The recent form of both teams is low (AaB: 0.4 PPG, Esbjerg: 1.4 PPG), but the home advantage in head-to-head meetings and xG statistics are in AaB's favor. Considering all factors, AaB has a realistic chance of victory, although their poor recent form could result in a draw or an upset from the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AaB | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Esbjerg is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - AaB · 2 pts / game - Esbjerg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esbjerg is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - AaB · 1.33 goals / game - Esbjerg
AaB scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Esbjerg scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AaB
Over / Under - Esbjerg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esbjerg is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - AaB · 1.29 pts / game - Esbjerg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AaB - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AaB
Esbjerg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| AaB | Liga | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.95 | 2.75 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 25% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AaB's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Esbjerg. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AaB vs Esbjerg?
The 1st Division match finished AaB 1:1 Esbjerg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Esbjerg?
AaB score 1.52 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.48. The 1st Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 48% of AaB's matches and 52% of Esbjerg's.
What form are AaB and Esbjerg in?
Over the last 5 games AaB have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Esbjerg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Esbjerg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AaB vs Esbjerg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.