Denmark - 1st DivisionAalborg Portland ParkData current as of October 15, 2026

AaB vs Fredericia: match statistics

AaB crest
AaB
0 : 3half-time 0:0
Fredericia crest
Fredericia

AaB vs Fredericia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

AaB played against Fredericia in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on August 14, 2026. Venue: Aalborg Portland Park. Final score: 0:3.

Recent form

AaB has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.33 points per game. Fredericia has 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 1.67 points per game.

Scoring records

AaB scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.67. Fredericia scores 1.67 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 3.00 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of AaB's games and 67% of Fredericia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 72% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fredericia has the higher season xG average, 2.96 to 1.42 per game. AaB takes 13.3 shots per game, while Fredericia takes 26.0.

First-half and second-half trends

AaB leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Fredericia leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

AaB's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Fredericia, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1st Division games average 3.00 goals. Both teams score in 72% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

AaB are second in the table and remain unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one, while Fredericia have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws over the same period. The hosts are defensively solid, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals in home matches, but their average xG stands at 1.28 compared with 1.54 for their opponents, suggesting that they allow quality chances. Fredericia create significantly more opportunities away from home, averaging 19 shots and 7 on target, with an xG of 2.12 compared with 1.28 for their opponents. At the same time, the visitors have drawn 100% of their away matches so far and concede an average of one goal per game on the road, meaning their attacking advantage should offset AaB’s home advantage rather than be decisive in securing a win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS - Yes is supported by the league’s high BTTS rate of 72%, while Fredericia have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches so far. In their last five games, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of matches, with AaB averaging 1.6 goals and Fredericia as many as 3.0. The hosts conceded only 0.6 goals per game during this period, although their average xG against is 1.17, while the visitors’ attack is generating a very high 2.96 xG. AaB should also find a way to score, having averaged 2.0 goals per game this season and 12.5 shots on target, while Fredericia have yet to keep a clean sheet. AaB’s defensive advantage lowers confidence in the pick, but the visitors’ current attacking strength and the hosts’ regular scoring make a scenario with goals from both teams more likely.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their matches so far, providing a very strong basis for Over 1.5 goals. AaB score an average of 2.0 goals at home and concede just 0.5, while Fredericia score 1.0 goal away from home but have yet to keep a clean sheet. In their last five matches, Fredericia have scored 15 goals—3.0 per game—with an xG of 2.96, while AaB average 1.6 goals. The hosts create exceptionally many chances at home: their average xG is 3.42, and they record 12.5 shots on target compared with 7.0 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals also has positive indicators, but with rates of 50% for AaB and 0% for Fredericia in their matches so far this league season, Over 1.5 goals remains the safest choice.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

AaB have clearly stronger chance-creation metrics at home: their average xG stands at 3.42 compared with Fredericia’s 2.12, while AaB’s opponents generated only 0.69 xG, compared with 1.28 against the visitors. In their last five matches, AaB were leading at the break in four and conceded no first-half goals, whereas Fredericia were trailing after 45 minutes in two of their five games. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, averaging 2.6 points per game, compared with Fredericia’s 2.2. The visitors’ attacking threat reduces confidence in the prediction, as they have averaged 3.0 goals per game across their last five appearances and scored 2.0 goals per match after half-time. Nevertheless, AaB’s first-half superiority and stronger defense primarily point towards the 1/1 scenario in the HT/FT market. The risk of a late Fredericia turnaround justifies the relatively high probabilities assigned to the 1/X and X/1 variants, but it does not outweigh the hosts’ chances of securing a full-time victory.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 3
Second half

Game stats

56Possession (%)44
AaBFredericia
16Shots19
AaBFredericia
2Shots on target7
AaBFredericia
1.49xG1.96
AaBFredericia
4Corners6
AaBFredericia
47Dangerous attacks38
AaBFredericia
13Fouls17
AaBFredericia
1Cards0
AaBFredericia

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.33Goals scored / game1.67
AaBFredericia
0.67Goals allowed / game0.67
AaBFredericia
57%Average possession61%
AaBFredericia
3.67Shots on target / game10.67
AaBFredericia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.33Shots per game26
AaBFredericia
3.67Shots on target10.67
AaBFredericia
10%Shot conversion6.4%
AaBFredericia
57%Possession61%
AaBFredericia
1.42xG for2.96
AaBFredericia
1.34xG against0.89
AaBFredericia

Shooting quality

AaB: BalancedFredericia: Dominant
AaBFredericia
Accuracy (shots on target)28%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.16

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AaB is 40% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / game - AaB · 1.67 pts / game - Fredericia

AaB
WWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%
Fredericia
WDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
33% W67% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 2.96Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fredericia is 26% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - AaB · 1.67 goals / game - Fredericia

AaB scoring profile: very strong

AaB scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while Fredericia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

Fredericia scoring profile: very strong

Fredericia scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 games), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

4Goals scored (season)5
AaBFredericia
2Goals conceded (season)2
AaBFredericia
2Average goals per game2.33
AaBFredericia
4Goals scored (last 5)5
AaBFredericia
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
AaBFredericia

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
AaBFredericia
33%2 goals33%
AaBFredericia
0%3 goals33%
AaBFredericia
0%4 goals0%
AaBFredericia

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
AaBFredericia
0%2 goals0%
AaBFredericia
0%3 goals0%
AaBFredericia
0%4 goals0%
AaBFredericia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
AaBFredericia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AaBFredericia
33%Scored in both halves0%
AaBFredericia

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
AaBFredericia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
AaBFredericia
67%BTTS - last 567%
AaBFredericia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
AaBFredericia
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
AaBFredericia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AaBFredericia

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
AaBFredericia
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AaBFredericia
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
AaBFredericia

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AaB is 606% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.33 pts / game - AaB · 0.33 pts / game - Fredericia

AaB - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
Fredericia - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per game (1st half)0.33
AaBFredericia
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0
AaBFredericia
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
AaBFredericia
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.67
AaBFredericia
100%Clean sheet before half-time33%
AaBFredericia
33%No goal before half-time100%
AaBFredericia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)3
AaBFredericia
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.67
AaBFredericia
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0
AaBFredericia
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.67
AaBFredericia
33%Clean sheet after half-time100%
AaBFredericia
33%No goal after half-time0%
AaBFredericia

AaB - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fredericia - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.7

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

AaB - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.331.33
Goals scored / game0.70.7
Goals allowed / game0.00.7
Average goals per game0.71.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%33%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Fredericia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.333.00
Goals scored / game0.01.7
Goals allowed / game0.70.0
Average goals per game0.71.7
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet33%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 33% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

AaB
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Fredericia
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
72%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

AaB

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Fredericia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+2.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.7
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

AaBLigaFredericia
Average goals per game▼ 2.003.00▼ 2.33
Both teams scored▼ 67%72%▼ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%56%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 33%14%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%78%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%78%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per game
72%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
14%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / game
1.44
Away goals / game
+8%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FredericiaSubstitutionOn: Emilio SimonsenOff: Elias Hansborg-Sørensen
  2. FredericiaGoalAlexander LyngAssist: Svenn Crone
  3. FredericiaSubstitutionOn: Jonatan Holm LindekildeOff: Alexander Lyng
  4. FredericiaSubstitutionOn: Felix WintherOff: Anders Dahl
  5. FredericiaGoalEmilio SimonsenAssist: Nemo Thomsen
  6. FredericiaSubstitutionOn: Adam Nygaard AndersenOff: Svenn Crone
  7. AaBYellow cardAndres Jasson
  8. AaBSubstitutionOn: Tibo PersynOff: Andres Jasson
  9. FredericiaSubstitutionOn: Frederik Bunten KjeldalOff: Daniel Bisgaard Haarbo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of AaB vs Fredericia?

The 1st Division match finished AaB 0:3 Fredericia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Fredericia?

AaB score 1.33 goals per game on average and Fredericia 1.67. The 1st Division average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of AaB's matches and 67% of Fredericia's.

What form are AaB and Fredericia in?

Over the last 5 games AaB have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Fredericia 1-2-0 (1.67 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Fredericia?

The statistical background for AaB vs Fredericia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.