AaB vs Hillerød: match statistics
AaB presents impressive home form with a 63% win rate and a positive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.13 goals per match in home games, which, combined with a 15% conversion rate and an average of 14.5 shots per match, constitutes a solid offensive foundation. Hillerød, despite sitting in second position, has weaker away statistics – only 44% wins on the road and a negative goal difference of -2. The visitors concede an average of 1.56 goals in away matches, and their average xG (1.34) is lower than AaB's in home matches (1.63). The possession advantage for the hosts (53% vs 47%) and better efficiency at home argue for an AaB victory, although the solid form of both teams in the last five matches (1.6 points per match each) suggests that a draw is also a realistic scenario.
AaB vs Hillerød: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AaB played against Hillerød in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on February 27, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
AaB has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Hillerød has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
AaB scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.39. Hillerød scores 1.50 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of AaB's games and 78% of Hillerød's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AaB has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.42 per game. AaB takes 13.7 shots per game, while Hillerød takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
AaB leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. Hillerød leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
AaB's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Hillerød, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AaB presents impressive home form with a 63% win rate and a positive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.13 goals per match in home games, which, combined with a 15% conversion rate and an average of 14.5 shots per match, constitutes a solid offensive foundation. Hillerød, despite sitting in second position, has weaker away statistics – only 44% wins on the road and a negative goal difference of -2. The visitors concede an average of 1.56 goals in away matches, and their average xG (1.34) is lower than AaB's in home matches (1.63). The possession advantage for the hosts (53% vs 47%) and better efficiency at home argue for an AaB victory, although the solid form of both teams in the last five matches (1.6 points per match each) suggests that a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AaB | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.61 goals / game - AaB · 1.5 goals / game - Hillerød
Hillerød is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.39 goals / game - AaB · 1.28 goals / game - Hillerød
AaB scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
Hillerød scores in 89% of games (16 of 18 meczów), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AaB
Over / Under - Hillerød
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hillerød is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - AaB · 1.5 pts / game - Hillerød
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AaB - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AaB
Hillerød
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| AaB | Liga | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.76 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 80% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AaB's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Hillerød. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AaB vs Hillerød?
The 1st Division match finished AaB 3:3 Hillerød. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Hillerød?
AaB score 1.61 goals per game on average and Hillerød 1.50. The 1st Division average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of AaB's matches and 78% of Hillerød's.
What form are AaB and Hillerød in?
Over the last 5 games AaB have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hillerød 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Hillerød?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AaB vs Hillerød: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.