Aarau vs Bellinzona: match statistics
Aarau presents impressive home form with 78% of matches won and only 22% lost, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts score an average of 1.56 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.56, and their goal difference of +9 confirms their solidity in both phases of the game. Bellinzona, on the other hand, has not won any away match this season (0% wins), presenting a disastrous form with 78% losses away from home and a goal difference of -15. The visitors score an average of only 0.44 goals in away matches, failing to find the net in 67% of matches, while conceding an average of 2.11 goals. Aarau's advantage in xG statistics (1.83 vs 1.16), shot efficiency (10% vs 4%), and recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 points per match) further confirms that the hosts should confidently win this clash.
Aarau vs Bellinzona: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aarau play Bellinzona in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Aarau: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bellinzona: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aarau scores 2.14 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Bellinzona scores 1.11 and concedes 2.14. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aarau 64%, Bellinzona 44%. Over 2.5: Aarau 69%, Bellinzona 61%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Aarau has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.30. Aarau: 17.1 shots per match, Bellinzona: 11.6.
Match halves
Aarau: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.14. Bellinzona: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Aarau: 0-15 (19 goals). Bellinzona: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Challenge League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Aarau presents impressive home form with 78% of matches won and only 22% lost, making them the clear favorite for this encounter. The hosts score an average of 1.56 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.56, and their goal difference of +9 confirms their solidity in both phases of the game. Bellinzona, on the other hand, has not won any away match this season (0% wins), presenting a disastrous form with 78% losses away from home and a goal difference of -15. The visitors score an average of only 0.44 goals in away matches, failing to find the net in 67% of matches, while conceding an average of 2.11 goals. Aarau's advantage in xG statistics (1.83 vs 1.16), shot efficiency (10% vs 4%), and recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 points per match) further confirms that the hosts should confidently win this clash.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aarau | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarau is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Aarau · 0.2 pts / match - Bellinzona
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarau is 93% better for: goals scored per match.
2.14 goals / match - Aarau · 1.11 goals / match - Bellinzona
Aarau is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Aarau · 2.14 goals / match - Bellinzona
Aarau scores in 94% of matches (34 of 36 matches), while Bellinzona keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Bellinzona scores in 53% of matches (19 of 36 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aarau
Over / Under — Bellinzona
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aarau is 98% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Aarau · 0.83 pts / match - Bellinzona
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aarau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bellinzona - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aarau
Bellinzona
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).
Teams vs league
| Aarau | Liga | Bellinzona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 62% | • 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aarau 1 - 1 - 1 Bellinzona. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aarau vs Bellinzona?
The Challenge League match finished Aarau 1:0 Bellinzona. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aarau and Bellinzona?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aarau won 1, Bellinzona won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aarau vs Bellinzona?
Aarau score 2.14 goals per game on average and Bellinzona 1.11. The Challenge League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Aarau's matches and 44% of Bellinzona's.
What form are Aarau and Bellinzona in?
Over the last 5 games Aarau have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bellinzona 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarau vs Bellinzona?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.