Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aarau play Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match date is 12 December 2025 at 20:15. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Aarau: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Étoile Carouge: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aarau scores 2.14 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Étoile Carouge scores 1.28 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.06 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aarau 64%, Étoile Carouge 56%. Over 2.5: Aarau 69%, Étoile Carouge 58%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

Aarau has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.48. Aarau: 17.1 shots per match, Étoile Carouge: 13.6.

Match halves

Aarau: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.14. Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.72.

Goals by minute

Aarau: 0-15 (19 goals). Étoile Carouge: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Challenge League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
AarauÉtoile Carouge
9Shots9
AarauÉtoile Carouge
6Shots on target2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.41xG1.11
AarauÉtoile Carouge
2Corners2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
58Dangerous attacks55
AarauÉtoile Carouge
18Fouls12
AarauÉtoile Carouge
4Cards2
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AarauÉtoile Carouge
2.14Goals scored / match1.28
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.31Goals conceded / match1.5
AarauÉtoile Carouge
47%Average possession49%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
6.33Shots on target / match4.11
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.08Shots per match13.61
AarauÉtoile Carouge
6.33Shots on target4.11
AarauÉtoile Carouge
12.5%Shot conversion9.4%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
47%Possession49%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.89xG for1.48
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.42xG against1.54
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Shooting quality

Aarau: Counter-attackingÉtoile Carouge: Balanced
AarauÉtoile Carouge
Accuracy (shots on target)37%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aarau is 175% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Aarau · 0.8 pts / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
69% W14% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-5-6
2.22 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-2-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Étoile Carouge
LWLLD
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-9
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aarau is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

2.14 goals / match - Aarau · 1.28 goals / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - Aarau · 1.5 goals / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau scoring profile: very strong

Aarau scores in 94% of matches (34 of 36 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

Étoile Carouge scoring profile: strong

Étoile Carouge scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).

77Goals scored (season)46
AarauÉtoile Carouge
47Goals conceded (season)54
AarauÉtoile Carouge
3.44Average goals in match2.78
AarauÉtoile Carouge
14Goals scored (last 5)9
AarauÉtoile Carouge
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
AarauÉtoile Carouge

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal69%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
69%2 goals36%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
28%3 goals17%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
11%4 goals3%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal78%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
31%2 goals53%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
19%3 goals19%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
11%4 goals0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time28%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
11%BTTS in both halves8%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
53%Scored in both halves22%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
100%BTTS - last 580%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aarau is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.64 pts / match - Aarau · 1.11 pts / match - Étoile Carouge

Aarau - half-time state
42% leading39% draw19% trailing
Étoile Carouge - half-time state
19% leading53% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per match (1st half)1.11
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1Goals scored (1st half)0.56
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.72Average goals (1st half)1.19
AarauÉtoile Carouge
53%Clean sheet before half-time47%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
31%No goal before half-time58%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

After half-time (2nd half)

1.92Points per match (2nd half)1.17
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.72Average goals (2nd half)1.58
AarauÉtoile Carouge
56%Clean sheet after half-time36%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
22%No goal after half-time50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Aarau - second-half results

53% W33% R14% P
59
Half-time points
36
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding164%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Étoile Carouge - second-half results

31% W25% R44% P
40
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aarau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match2.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match3.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+5+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 10
Étoile Carouge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match1.60.8
Average goals in match2.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aarau
ScoredConceded
19
5
0-15
6
9
16-30
11
12
31-45
10
7
46-60
13
5
61-75
18
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Étoile Carouge
ScoredConceded
5
11
0-15
9
5
16-30
6
7
31-45
8
6
46-60
6
13
61-75
12
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.12
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aarau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Étoile Carouge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).

Teams vs league

AarauLigaÉtoile Carouge
Average goals in match 3.443.06 2.78
Both teams scored 64%57% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%62% 58%
Clean sheets 33%25% 22%
Goal before half-time 81%72% 67%
Goal after half-time 86%80% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.06
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / match
1.43
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Aarau 2 - 0 - 1 Étoile Carouge. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

The Challenge League match finished Aarau 2:1 Étoile Carouge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aarau and Étoile Carouge?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aarau won 2, Étoile Carouge won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Aarau score 2.14 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 1.28. The Challenge League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Aarau's matches and 56% of Étoile Carouge's.

What form are Aarau and Étoile Carouge in?

Over the last 5 games Aarau have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.