Denmark - 1st DivisionJYSK parkData current as of October 15, 2026

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Aarhus Fremad plays Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: JYSK park.

Recent form

Aarhus Fremad has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Esbjerg has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Aarhus Fremad scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.10. Esbjerg scores 1.30 and allows 2.20. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Aarhus Fremad's games and 70% of Esbjerg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 70%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Esbjerg has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.27 per game. Aarhus Fremad takes 11.6 shots per game, while Esbjerg takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Aarhus Fremad leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Esbjerg leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Aarhus Fremad's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Esbjerg, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1st Division games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.15)
(3.65)
(2.92)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
1Goals scored / game1.3
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
1.1Goals allowed / game2.2
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
55%Average possession48%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
3.2Shots on target / game4.4
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.6Shots per game11.9
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
3.2Shots on target4.4
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
8.6%Shot conversion10.9%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
55%Possession48%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
1.27xG for1.38
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
1.6xG against1.84
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

Shooting quality

Aarhus Fremad: BalancedEsbjerg: Balanced
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
Accuracy (shots on target)28%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Aarhus Fremad is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Aarhus Fremad · 0.4 pts / game - Esbjerg

Aarhus Fremad
DWDLL
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Esbjerg
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
10% W30% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-6
0.60 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Esbjerg is 30% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Aarhus Fremad · 1.3 goals / game - Esbjerg

Aarhus Fremad is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.1 goals / game - Aarhus Fremad · 2.2 goals / game - Esbjerg

Aarhus Fremad scoring profile: very strong

Aarhus Fremad scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).

Esbjerg scoring profile: strong

Esbjerg scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

10Goals scored (season)13
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
11Goals conceded (season)22
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
2.1Average goals per game3.5
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
3Goals scored (last 5)5
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal70%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
30%2 goals40%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
10%3 goals20%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
0%4 goals0%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal100%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
30%2 goals80%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
10%3 goals30%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
0%4 goals10%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time30%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
10%Scored in both halves40%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
40%BTTS - last 540%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time70%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aarhus Fremad - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing
Esbjerg - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per game (1st half)1.2
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.7
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
1Average goals (1st half)1.3
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
70%No goal before half-time50%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

After half-time (2nd half)

0.9Points per game (2nd half)0.2
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.6
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
1.1Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
50%Clean sheet after half-time10%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg
60%No goal after half-time40%
Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

Aarhus Fremad - second-half results

10% W60% D30% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Esbjerg - second-half results

0% W20% D80% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aarhus Fremad - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Esbjerg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.4
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Aarhus Fremad
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Esbjerg
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
0
31-45
4
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Aarhus Fremad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Esbjerg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
157%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).

Teams vs league

Aarhus FremadLigaEsbjerg
Average goals per game▼ 2.102.78▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▼ 60%62%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%53%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▲ 30%24%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%77%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%77%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.38
Away goals / game
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Aarhus Fremad's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Esbjerg. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Aarhus Fremad
0 : 1
Esbjerg fB
Esbjerg fB
1 : 1
Aarhus Fremad

FAQ

When do Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg play?

Aarhus Fremad face Esbjerg on October 16, 2026 in 1st Division at JYSK park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aarhus Fremad won 0, Esbjerg won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg?

Aarhus Fremad score 1.00 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.30. The 1st Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Aarhus Fremad's matches and 70% of Esbjerg's.

What form are Aarhus Fremad and Esbjerg in?

Over the last 5 games Aarhus Fremad have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Esbjerg 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.