Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro: match statistics
Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aarhus Fremad play Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Aarhus Fremad: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Hobro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aarhus Fremad scores 1.63 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Hobro scores 1.25 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aarhus Fremad 50%, Hobro 44%. Over 2.5: Aarhus Fremad 53%, Hobro 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Aarhus Fremad has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.41. Aarhus Fremad: 14.4 shots per match, Hobro: 12.1.
Match halves
Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.97. Hobro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Aarhus Fremad: 76-90+ (15 goals). Hobro: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Aarhus Fremad has an offensive edge at home: the hosts have scored 41 goals this season, averaging 2.15 goals per home match, versus Hobro’s 31 goals and 1.46 average in away matches. Aarhus records higher expected goals (xG 1.55 vs 1.42), more shots (12.92 vs 12), more shots on target (5.15 vs 4.92) and better shot conversion (17% vs 12%), while also maintaining greater possession (55% vs 48%). However, Hobro are in better recent form: 3 wins in their last 5 matches, 10 goals in that period and 1.8 points per game, whereas Aarhus have 2 wins, 9 goals and 1.2 points in their last 5. Defensively the visitors have been more solid short-term — conceding only 3 goals in the last 5 matches versus the hosts’ 8; Hobro’s season away clean sheet rate is 38% compared to Aarhus’s 23%, and the hosts more frequently finish matches without scoring (31% vs 23%). Considering Aarhus’s attacking and possession advantage against Hobro’s better form and defensive stability, I project a narrow home win — 50% for '1', 28% for draw and 22% for away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aarhus Fremad | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarhus Fremad is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.6 pts / match - Hobro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarhus Fremad is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.25 goals / match - Hobro
Aarhus Fremad is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad · 1.34 goals / match - Hobro
Aarhus Fremad scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Hobro scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aarhus Fremad
Over / Under — Hobro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Aarhus Fremad | Liga | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.78 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aarhus Fremad 2 - 0 - 1 Hobro. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro?
The 1st Division match finished Aarhus Fremad 0:1 Hobro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aarhus Fremad and Hobro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aarhus Fremad won 2, Hobro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro?
Aarhus Fremad score 1.63 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.25. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Aarhus Fremad's matches and 44% of Hobro's.
What form are Aarhus Fremad and Hobro in?
Over the last 5 games Aarhus Fremad have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Hobro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.