Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Aberdeen played against Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on December 14, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Aberdeen has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Kilmarnock has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Aberdeen scores 1.07 goals per game and allows 1.07. Kilmarnock scores 1.00 and allows 1.88. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 27% of Aberdeen's games and 56% of Kilmarnock's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 63%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Aberdeen has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.24 per game. Aberdeen takes 13.0 shots per game, while Kilmarnock takes 10.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Aberdeen leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.44 after halftime.

When the teams score

Aberdeen's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Kilmarnock, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

68Possession (%)32
AberdeenKilmarnock
21Shots8
AberdeenKilmarnock
8Shots on target5
AberdeenKilmarnock
2.17xG1.07
AberdeenKilmarnock
9Corners3
AberdeenKilmarnock
39Dangerous attacks28
AberdeenKilmarnock
10Fouls14
AberdeenKilmarnock
2Cards5
AberdeenKilmarnock

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

AberdeenKilmarnock
1.07Goals scored / game1
AberdeenKilmarnock
1.07Goals allowed / game1.88
AberdeenKilmarnock
48%Average possession39%
AberdeenKilmarnock
4Shots on target / game3.81
AberdeenKilmarnock

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13Shots per game10.69
AberdeenKilmarnock
4Shots on target3.81
AberdeenKilmarnock
8.2%Shot conversion9.4%
AberdeenKilmarnock
48%Possession39%
AberdeenKilmarnock
1.37xG for1.24
AberdeenKilmarnock
1.47xG against1.53
AberdeenKilmarnock

Shooting quality

Aberdeen: BalancedKilmarnock: Balanced
AberdeenKilmarnock
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Aberdeen is 450% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Aberdeen · 0.4 pts / game - Kilmarnock

Aberdeen
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-6
1.40 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Kilmarnock
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
13% W38% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-8
0.75 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aberdeen is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

1.07 goals / game - Aberdeen · 1 goals / game - Kilmarnock

Aberdeen is 76% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.07 goals / game - Aberdeen · 1.88 goals / game - Kilmarnock

Aberdeen scoring profile: strong

Aberdeen scores in 60% of games (9 of 15 meczów), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).

Kilmarnock scoring profile: strong

Kilmarnock scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 meczów).

16Goals scored (season)16
AberdeenKilmarnock
16Goals conceded (season)30
AberdeenKilmarnock
2.13Average goals per game2.88
AberdeenKilmarnock
9Goals scored (last 5)3
AberdeenKilmarnock
5Goals conceded (last 5)12
AberdeenKilmarnock

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal69%
AberdeenKilmarnock
20%2 goals31%
AberdeenKilmarnock
20%3 goals0%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%4 goals0%
AberdeenKilmarnock

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal81%
AberdeenKilmarnock
40%2 goals63%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%3 goals38%
AberdeenKilmarnock
0%4 goals6%
AberdeenKilmarnock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time19%
AberdeenKilmarnock
0%BTTS in both halves6%
AberdeenKilmarnock
13%Scored in both halves19%
AberdeenKilmarnock

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
AberdeenKilmarnock
60%BTTS - last 560%
AberdeenKilmarnock

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
AberdeenKilmarnock
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
AberdeenKilmarnock

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
AberdeenKilmarnock
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
AberdeenKilmarnock
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
AberdeenKilmarnock

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aberdeen is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / game - Aberdeen · 1.06 pts / game - Kilmarnock

Aberdeen - half-time state
27% leading47% draw27% trailing
Kilmarnock - half-time state
25% leading31% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per game (1st half)1.06
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.56
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.73Average goals (1st half)1.38
AberdeenKilmarnock
73%Clean sheet before half-time44%
AberdeenKilmarnock
73%No goal before half-time56%
AberdeenKilmarnock

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)0.94
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
AberdeenKilmarnock
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.06
AberdeenKilmarnock
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.5
AberdeenKilmarnock
40%Clean sheet after half-time38%
AberdeenKilmarnock
53%No goal after half-time56%
AberdeenKilmarnock

Aberdeen - second-half results

20% W47% D33% L
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kilmarnock - second-half results

19% W38% D44% L
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aberdeen - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game0.62.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kilmarnock - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.40
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.6
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Aberdeen
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
5
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
4
4
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
3
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
3
6
46-60
1
6
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.51
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Aberdeen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

AberdeenLigaKilmarnock
Average goals per game 2.132.61 2.88
Both teams scored 27%50% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%52% 63%
Clean sheets 40%30% 19%
Goal before half-time 53%75% 81%
Goal after half-time 80%80% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.18
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. KilmarnockGoalTyreece John-JulesAssist: James Brown
  2. AberdeenSubstitutionOn: Graeme ShinnieOff: Alexander Jensen
  3. KilmarnockYellow cardGeorge Stanger
  4. KilmarnockYellow cardRobbie Deas
  5. KilmarnockYellow cardBradley Lyons
  6. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Greg KiltieOff: Tyreece John-Jules
  7. AberdeenSubstitutionOn: Marko LazetićOff: Dante Polvara
  8. KilmarnockYellow cardJames Brown
  9. AberdeenSubstitutionOn: Kenan BilalovicOff: Topi Keskinen
  10. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Marcus DackersOff: Bruce Anderson
  11. AberdeenYellow cardMarko Lazetić
  12. AberdeenGoalKenan BilalovicAssist: Kevin Nisbet
  13. AberdeenGoalJesper Karlsson
  14. AberdeenYellow cardAdil Aouchiche
  15. KilmarnockYellow cardLiam Polworth

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Ross HardieMatches officiated: 8
5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins25%Draws25%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Aberdeen's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kilmarnock. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Kilmarnock FC
0 : 1
Aberdeen FC

FAQ

What was the result of Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

The Premiership match finished Aberdeen 2:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

Aberdeen score 1.07 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.00. The Premiership average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Aberdeen's matches and 56% of Kilmarnock's.

What form are Aberdeen and Kilmarnock in?

Over the last 5 games Aberdeen have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Kilmarnock 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.