Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 17 July 2026

Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United: match statistics

Abia Warriors crest
Abia Warriors
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Bayelsa United crest
Bayelsa United

Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Abia Warriors play Bayelsa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Abia Warriors: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Bayelsa United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Abia Warriors scores 0.82 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Bayelsa United scores 0.97 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Abia Warriors 29%, Bayelsa United 47%. Over 2.5: Abia Warriors 21%, Bayelsa United 32%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Abia Warriors has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.24. Abia Warriors: 5.6 shots per match, Bayelsa United: 6.6.

Match halves

Abia Warriors: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.39. Bayelsa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Abia Warriors: 16-30 (7 goals). Bayelsa United: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Abia Warriors are clear favorites: they sit 6th in the table, have 14 wins and 27 goals this season, and at home win 56% of matches with an average of 1.13 goals scored and only 0.38 conceded per game. The hosts create significantly more chances — on average 14.92 shots and 5.25 shots on target at home with xG 1.69, versus 7.92 shots, 2.08 on target and xG 1.02 for Bayelsa United away. Abia’s defense looks statistically solid: 69% of home matches end in a clean sheet, and average xG against 1.11 compared to an actual 0.38 goals conceded suggests efficient defensive performance. In the last 5 matches Abia scored 5 goals and average 1.2 points per game (lwlwl), while Bayelsa scored 7 goals and average 1.8 points per game (wlwlw), but the visitors average only 0.56 goals per away game and fail to score in 50% of away fixtures. Considering the advantage in quality of chances (xG 1.69 vs 1.02), shot volume and possession (54% vs 44%), I predict a home win.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
12Shots11
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
4Shots on target1
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
1.35xG1.03
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
8Corners4
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
43Dangerous attacks36
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
-1Fouls-1
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
-1Cards-1
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0.82Goals scored / match0.97
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0.89Goals conceded / match1.11
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
25%Average possession36%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
1.66Shots on target / match1.95
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.58Shots per match6.58
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
1.66Shots on target1.95
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
14.6%Shot conversion14.8%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
25%Possession36%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
1.41xG for1.24
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
1.32xG against1.5
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

Shooting quality

Abia Warriors: Counter-attackingBayelsa United: Counter-attacking
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
Accuracy (shots on target)30%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.250.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.490.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Abia Warriors
LWLLL
Season result split
42% W18% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-15
1.45 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-6-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Bayelsa United
LLLLW
Season result split
29% W26% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-17
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-11
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bayelsa United is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 0.97 goals / match - Bayelsa United

Abia Warriors is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.89 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 1.11 goals / match - Bayelsa United

Abia Warriors scoring profile: strong

Abia Warriors scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

Bayelsa United scoring profile: mixed

Bayelsa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

31Goals scored (season)37
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
34Goals conceded (season)42
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
1.71Average goals in match2.08
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
3Goals scored (last 5)7
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal61%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
18%2 goals26%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0%3 goals5%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0%4 goals5%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal79%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
29%2 goals24%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
3%3 goals5%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0%4 goals3%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time24%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
11%Scored in both halves18%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
40%BTTS - last 540%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time66%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Abia Warriors is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Abia Warriors · 1.24 pts / match - Bayelsa United

Abia Warriors - half-time state
26% leading58% draw16% trailing
Bayelsa United - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.24
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.47
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0.34Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0.76Average goals (1st half)1
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
74%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
66%No goal before half-time53%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0.39Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
0.95Average goals (2nd half)1.08
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
58%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United
61%No goal after half-time68%
Abia WarriorsBayelsa United

Abia Warriors - second-half results

26% W42% R32% P
52
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bayelsa United - second-half results

18% W45% R37% P
47
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Abia Warriors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bayelsa United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Abia Warriors
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
7
2
16-30
6
5
31-45
6
9
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Bayelsa United
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
8
4
16-30
5
11
31-45
5
6
46-60
8
4
61-75
6
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Abia Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
153%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Bayelsa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Abia WarriorsLigaBayelsa United
Average goals in match 1.712.02 2.08
Both teams scored 29%38% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 21%34% 32%
Clean sheets 42%37% 21%
Goal before half-time 50%61% 66%
Goal after half-time 68%64% 66%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Abia Warriors 0 - 0 - 1 Bayelsa United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Bayelsa United FC
2 : 1
Abia Warriors FC

FAQ

What was the result of Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

The NPFL match finished Abia Warriors 1:0 Bayelsa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

Abia Warriors score 0.82 goals per game on average and Bayelsa United 0.97. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Abia Warriors's matches and 47% of Bayelsa United's.

What form are Abia Warriors and Bayelsa United in?

Over the last 5 games Abia Warriors have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Bayelsa United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abia Warriors vs Bayelsa United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.