Abia Warriors vs Kwara United: match statistics
Abia Warriors holds a decisive advantage in home matches with a 46% win rate and an impressive 69% clean sheets, conceding an average of just 0.38 goals per match. The hosts have a significantly better xG balance (1.63 vs 0.92) and offensive efficiency compared to the visitors. Kwara United has a disastrous away form with 0% wins, 69% losses, and a negative goal difference of -12, failing to score in 69% of away matches. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +8 at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.31 goals away. The form in the last five matches also favors Abia Warriors, although not perfect, it is still better than Kwara United's series of away defeats. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a home victory, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Abia Warriors' high percentage of draws at home (46%).
Abia Warriors vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Abia Warriors played against Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Abia Warriors has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Kwara United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Abia Warriors scores 0.81 goals per game and allows 0.69. Kwara United scores 0.81 and allows 0.92. Games in this league average 1.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Abia Warriors's games and 35% of Kwara United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 12% and 19%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Abia Warriors has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.04 per game. Abia Warriors takes 6.3 shots per game, while Kwara United takes 4.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Abia Warriors leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Kwara United leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Abia Warriors's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Kwara United, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.82 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Abia Warriors holds a decisive advantage in home matches with a 46% win rate and an impressive 69% clean sheets, conceding an average of just 0.38 goals per match. The hosts have a significantly better xG balance (1.63 vs 0.92) and offensive efficiency compared to the visitors. Kwara United has a disastrous away form with 0% wins, 69% losses, and a negative goal difference of -12, failing to score in 69% of away matches. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +8 at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.31 goals away. The form in the last five matches also favors Abia Warriors, although not perfect, it is still better than Kwara United's series of away defeats. All key statistical indicators clearly point to a home victory, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to Abia Warriors' high percentage of draws at home (46%).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Abia Warriors | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.78 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kwara United is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Abia Warriors · 1 pts / game - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Abia Warriors is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.69 goals / game - Abia Warriors · 0.92 goals / game - Kwara United
Abia Warriors scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
Kwara United scores in 50% of games (13 of 26 meczów), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
Over / Under - Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Abia Warriors is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Abia Warriors · 1.27 pts / game - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Abia Warriors
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Abia Warriors | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 1.82 | • 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 36% | • 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Head-to-head
Record from Abia Warriors's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kwara United. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Abia Warriors vs Kwara United?
The NPFL match finished Abia Warriors 1:0 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Abia Warriors vs Kwara United?
Abia Warriors score 0.81 goals per game on average and Kwara United 0.81. The NPFL average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Abia Warriors's matches and 35% of Kwara United's.
What form are Abia Warriors and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Abia Warriors have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Kwara United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abia Warriors vs Kwara United?
The statistical background for Abia Warriors vs Kwara United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.