Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars: match statistics
Abia Warriors display impressive home form with 50% wins at home and only 7% losses, making them a difficult opponent on their own ground. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG For: 1.63 vs xG Against: 1.12) and keep a clean sheet in 71% of home matches, indicating a solid defense. Shooting Stars struggle with significant problems in away matches - only 14% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference of -14. The visitors fail to score in 64% of away matches, and their form in the last five away fixtures is catastrophic. Considering the xG statistics, the hosts' ball possession advantage, and the disparity in effectiveness between both teams, Abia Warriors have a clear advantage, although Shooting Stars may put up resistance, which justifies the relatively high probability of a draw.
Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Abia Warriors played against Shooting Stars in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Abia Warriors has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Shooting Stars has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Abia Warriors scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 0.71. Shooting Stars scores 1.00 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 1.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Abia Warriors's games and 37% of Shooting Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 11% and 30%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Abia Warriors has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.35 per game. Abia Warriors takes 5.8 shots per game, while Shooting Stars takes 6.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Abia Warriors leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Shooting Stars leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Abia Warriors's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Shooting Stars, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.84 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Abia Warriors display impressive home form with 50% wins at home and only 7% losses, making them a difficult opponent on their own ground. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG For: 1.63 vs xG Against: 1.12) and keep a clean sheet in 71% of home matches, indicating a solid defense. Shooting Stars struggle with significant problems in away matches - only 14% wins, as many as 64% losses, and a negative goal difference of -14. The visitors fail to score in 64% of away matches, and their form in the last five away fixtures is catastrophic. Considering the xG statistics, the hosts' ball possession advantage, and the disparity in effectiveness between both teams, Abia Warriors have a clear advantage, although Shooting Stars may put up resistance, which justifies the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Abia Warriors | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Shooting Stars is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Abia Warriors · 1.2 pts / game - Shooting Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shooting Stars is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
0.79 goals / game - Abia Warriors · 1 goals / game - Shooting Stars
Abia Warriors is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.71 goals / game - Abia Warriors · 1.04 goals / game - Shooting Stars
Abia Warriors scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 meczów), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 meczów).
Shooting Stars scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 meczów), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
Over / Under - Shooting Stars
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Shooting Stars - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Abia Warriors
Shooting Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Abia Warriors | Liga | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.50 | 1.84 | ▲ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 36% | • 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 60% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Abia Warriors's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Shooting Stars. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
The NPFL match finished Abia Warriors 2:0 Shooting Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
Abia Warriors score 0.79 goals per game on average and Shooting Stars 1.00. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Abia Warriors's matches and 37% of Shooting Stars's.
What form are Abia Warriors and Shooting Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Abia Warriors have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shooting Stars 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Abia Warriors vs Shooting Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.