AD Marco 09 vs Varzim: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close encounter favoring a draw scenario. AD Marco 09 presents solid home form with 50% of matches ending in a draw and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, which testifies to defensive stability. Varzim, despite a better overall record (6 victories versus 4 for AD Marco), struggles away – only 25% wins and a negative goal difference (-1). Both teams have identical indicators: an average of 1.13 goals conceded, shot conversion of 13%, and 48% possession, confirming their similar level. Recent form is also similar – AD Marco with 1.2 PPG, Varzim with 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches. Considering the high draw rates of both teams (50% for the hosts at home, 38% for the visitors away) and the balanced xG parameters, the most probable result is a sharing of points.
AD Marco 09 vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AD Marco 09 played against Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
AD Marco 09 has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Varzim has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
AD Marco 09 scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.12. Varzim scores 1.35 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.11 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of AD Marco 09's games and 53% of Varzim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 41%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AD Marco 09 has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.31 per game. AD Marco 09 takes 10.8 shots per game, while Varzim takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
AD Marco 09 leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Varzim leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.76 after halftime.
When the teams score
AD Marco 09's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Varzim, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.11 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close encounter favoring a draw scenario. AD Marco 09 presents solid home form with 50% of matches ending in a draw and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, which testifies to defensive stability. Varzim, despite a better overall record (6 victories versus 4 for AD Marco), struggles away – only 25% wins and a negative goal difference (-1). Both teams have identical indicators: an average of 1.13 goals conceded, shot conversion of 13%, and 48% possession, confirming their similar level. Recent form is also similar – AD Marco with 1.2 PPG, Varzim with 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches. Considering the high draw rates of both teams (50% for the hosts at home, 38% for the visitors away) and the balanced xG parameters, the most probable result is a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AD Marco 09 | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Varzim is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - AD Marco 09 · 1.4 pts / game - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
0.82 goals / game - AD Marco 09 · 1.35 goals / game - Varzim
Varzim is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - AD Marco 09 · 0.94 goals / game - Varzim
AD Marco 09 scores in 59% of games (10 of 17 meczów), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
Varzim scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AD Marco 09
Over / Under - Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AD Marco 09 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AD Marco 09
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| AD Marco 09 | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.94 | 2.11 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from AD Marco 09's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Varzim. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AD Marco 09 vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished AD Marco 09 1:3 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AD Marco 09 vs Varzim?
AD Marco 09 score 0.82 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.35. The Liga 3 average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of AD Marco 09's matches and 53% of Varzim's.
What form are AD Marco 09 and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games AD Marco 09 have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Varzim 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AD Marco 09 vs Varzim?
The statistical background for AD Marco 09 vs Varzim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.