Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics

Adama Kenema crest
Adama Kenema
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Fasil Ketema crest
Fasil Ketema
130%(2.90)
X40%(2.80)
230%(2.45)

Fasil Ketema displays impressive away form with an unbeaten run (0 away losses) and the league's best defensive record (just 0.2 goals conceded per away match). Adama Kenema holds a solid home record (50% win rate), though their attack is limited (0.67 goals per home match). A key factor is Fasil Ketema's advantage in xG metrics (1.49 vs 1.11) and significantly better defensive efficiency (80% clean sheets away). While form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG), Fasil Ketema's high away draw percentage (60%) and the defensive nature of both sides suggest a share of the points is the most probable outcome.

Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Adama Kenema played against Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 0:0.

Recent form

Adama Kenema has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Fasil Ketema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Adama Kenema scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 0.50. Fasil Ketema scores 0.83 and allows 0.25. Games in this league average 1.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 25% of Adama Kenema's games and 25% of Fasil Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 17% and 0%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fasil Ketema has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.07 per game. Adama Kenema takes 6.5 shots per game, while Fasil Ketema takes 9.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Adama Kenema leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Fasil Ketema leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Adama Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Fasil Ketema, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.80 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Fasil Ketema displays impressive away form with an unbeaten run (0 away losses) and the league's best defensive record (just 0.2 goals conceded per away match). Adama Kenema holds a solid home record (50% win rate), though their attack is limited (0.67 goals per home match). A key factor is Fasil Ketema's advantage in xG metrics (1.49 vs 1.11) and significantly better defensive efficiency (80% clean sheets away). While form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG), Fasil Ketema's high away draw percentage (60%) and the defensive nature of both sides suggest a share of the points is the most probable outcome.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

57Possession (%)43
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
6Shots7
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
4Shots on target1
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.84xG0.74
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
3Corners1
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
23Dangerous attacks31
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
7Fouls19
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0Cards0
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.67Goals scored / game0.83
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.5Goals allowed / game0.25
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
53%Average possession45%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
2.08Shots on target / game3.42
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.5Shots per game9.17
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
2.08Shots on target3.42
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
10.3%Shot conversion9.1%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
53%Possession45%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
1.07xG for1.31
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.96xG against1.21
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

Shooting quality

Adama Kenema: BalancedFasil Ketema: Balanced
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)32%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Fasil Ketema is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Adama Kenema · 1.8 pts / game - Fasil Ketema

Adama Kenema
DWDLW
Season result split
42% W42% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-2
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Fasil Ketema
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fasil Ketema is 24% better for: goals scored per game.

0.67 goals / game - Adama Kenema · 0.83 goals / game - Fasil Ketema

Fasil Ketema is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Adama Kenema · 0.25 goals / game - Fasil Ketema

Adama Kenema scoring profile: more difficult

Adama Kenema scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 meczów), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 75% (9 of 12 meczów).

Fasil Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Fasil Ketema scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 75% (9 of 12 meczów).

8Goals scored (season)10
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
6Goals conceded (season)3
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
1.17Average goals per game1.08
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
4Goals scored (last 5)4
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal75%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0%2 goals8%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

How often they concede at least...

25%1 goal25%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
17%2 goals0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
8%3 goals0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
40%BTTS - last 540%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time8%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

2nd half

42%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fasil Ketema is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Adama Kenema · 1.5 pts / game - Fasil Ketema

Adama Kenema - half-time state
17% leading75% draw8% trailing
Fasil Ketema - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)1.5
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.08
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.5Average goals (1st half)0.42
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
83%Clean sheet before half-time92%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
75%No goal before half-time67%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per game (2nd half)1.58
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
0.67Average goals (2nd half)0.67
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
83%Clean sheet after half-time83%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema
58%No goal after half-time58%
Adama KenemaFasil Ketema

Adama Kenema - second-half results

25% W67% R8% P
15
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding247%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Fasil Ketema - second-half results

33% W58% R8% P
18
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Adama Kenema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Fasil Ketema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game0.21.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Adama Kenema
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Fasil Ketema
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.13
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
63%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Adama Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Fasil Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.96
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
27%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Adama KenemaLigaFasil Ketema
Average goals per game 1.171.80 1.08
Both teams scored 25%44% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 17%29% 0%
Clean sheets 75%37% 75%
Goal before half-time 33%58% 33%
Goal after half-time 42%61% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / game
0.89
Away goals / game
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 0:0 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Adama Kenema score 0.67 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.83. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Adama Kenema's matches and 25% of Fasil Ketema's.

What form are Adama Kenema and Fasil Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.