Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adama Kenema play Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 14 April 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adama Kenema 42%, Mebrat Hayl 37%. Over 2.5: Adama Kenema 32%, Mebrat Hayl 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Adama Kenema: 6.4 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 7.0.
Match halves
Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mebrat Hayl holds a clear advantage in form and defense: they rank 6th versus Adama Kenema’s 10th and in the last 5 matches have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 points per game) while the hosts have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (0.2 points per game). The gap in efficiency and defense is significant — Mebrat have scored 9 and conceded 4 in the last 5 (1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game), whereas Adama have scored 5 and conceded 10 (1.0 and 2.0 per game). Over the season the visitors have conceded 15 goals versus 26 for the hosts, with goal totals 20 (visitors) vs 24 (hosts), underlining Mebrat’s defensive edge. In terms of shot metrics the hosts register more on-target shots at home (2.85 vs 2.08) and similar xG (1.16 vs 1.18), but Adama’s poor recent form (10 goals conceded in 5 matches) makes the visitors look more stable. I therefore back an away win, although a draw remains realistic (Adama record 46% draws at home, and average goals are 1.77 for the hosts and 1.62 for the visitors).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adama Kenema | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adama Kenema is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Mebrat Hayl is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Adama Kenema
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mebrat Hayl is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adama Kenema
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Adama Kenema | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.92 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Adama Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Mebrat Hayl. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 0:1 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Adama Kenema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.84. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Adama Kenema's matches and 37% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Adama Kenema and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.