Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter with an advantage for a draw. Adama Kenema presents solid home form with 75% clean sheets and only 13% losses at home, yet the team has a tendency to draw (50% of home matches). Mekelle Kenema shows improved defense in their last five away matches (50% clean sheets) and identical form in the last five meetings (1.8 PPG) as the hosts. Both teams have low scoring efficiency (0.75 goals on average per match) and similar xG values, suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' high propensity for draws in home matches and the visitors' improving form, the most likely result is a split of points, though the hosts hold a slight advantage thanks to the home pitch factor.
Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Adama Kenema played against Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Adama Kenema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Mekelle Kenema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Adama Kenema scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 0.69. Mekelle Kenema scores 1.00 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 1.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Adama Kenema's games and 56% of Mekelle Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 44%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelle Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.08 per game. Adama Kenema takes 6.4 shots per game, while Mekelle Kenema takes 6.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Adama Kenema leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Mekelle Kenema leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Adama Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Mekelle Kenema, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.77 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced encounter with an advantage for a draw. Adama Kenema presents solid home form with 75% clean sheets and only 13% losses at home, yet the team has a tendency to draw (50% of home matches). Mekelle Kenema shows improved defense in their last five away matches (50% clean sheets) and identical form in the last five meetings (1.8 PPG) as the hosts. Both teams have low scoring efficiency (0.75 goals on average per match) and similar xG values, suggesting balanced offensive potential. Considering the hosts' high propensity for draws in home matches and the visitors' improving form, the most likely result is a split of points, though the hosts hold a slight advantage thanks to the home pitch factor.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Adama Kenema | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Adama Kenema · 1 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema
Adama Kenema is 64% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.69 goals / game - Adama Kenema · 1.13 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema
Adama Kenema scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 63% (10 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Adama Kenema
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - Adama Kenema · 1.5 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Adama Kenema
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Adama Kenema | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.56 | 1.77 | ▲ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 39% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 0:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Adama Kenema score 0.88 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Adama Kenema's matches and 56% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Adama Kenema and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Mekelle Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.