ADT vs Real Garcilaso: match statistics
ADT vs Real Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ADT play Real Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
ADT: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Real Garcilaso: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
ADT scores 1.29 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Real Garcilaso scores 1.24 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ADT 47%, Real Garcilaso 59%. Over 2.5: ADT 47%, Real Garcilaso 53%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
ADT has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.34. ADT: 13.4 shots per match, Real Garcilaso: 12.3.
Match halves
ADT: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.71. Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
ADT: 76-90+ (6 goals). Real Garcilaso: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back a home win (1): ADT are in good form, scoring 10 goals in their last 5 matches with a 3-1-1 record and averaging 2.0 points per game over that span. At home ADT average 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per match, while Real Garcilaso on the road average 1.00 scored and 2.13 conceded, giving the hosts roughly a 0.63 goal advantage in attack and Real conceding about 1.25 more goals defensively. The quality of chances also favors ADT: their home xG is 1.79 versus Real’s away xG of 1.13, and ADT average 6.5 shots on target and 16.88 total shots compared to the visitors’ 3.88 on target and 9.75 total. Additionally, ADT keep a clean sheet in 50% of home matches and fail to score in only 13% of games, whereas Real have 0% clean sheets away and fail to score in 50% of their away fixtures; in their last 5 matches Real have scored only 4 goals and conceded 8. Considering the differences in average goals, xG and form (ADT: 10 goals in 5 matches vs Real: 4 goals in 5 matches), I assign a 65% probability to a home win, 20% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ADT | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Garcilaso is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - ADT · 1.6 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ADT is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - ADT · 1.41 goals / match - Real Garcilaso
ADT scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Real Garcilaso scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while ADT keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — ADT
Over / Under — Real Garcilaso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ADT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ADT
Real Garcilaso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| ADT | Liga | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.63 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): ADT 2 - 0 - 0 Real Garcilaso. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ADT vs Real Garcilaso?
The Primera División match finished ADT 1:2 Real Garcilaso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between ADT and Real Garcilaso?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches ADT won 2, Real Garcilaso won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before ADT vs Real Garcilaso?
ADT score 1.29 goals per game on average and Real Garcilaso 1.24. The Primera División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 47% of ADT's matches and 59% of Real Garcilaso's.
What form are ADT and Real Garcilaso in?
Over the last 5 games ADT have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Real Garcilaso 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ADT vs Real Garcilaso?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.