AEK Athens vs Larissa: match statistics
AEK Athens presents a decisive advantage in all key statistics. The hosts boast an impressive record of 82% wins at home, averaging 1.91 goals scored while conceding just 0.45 per home match. Their home form (wwwlwwwwwdw) and 64% clean sheets confirm defensive solidity. Larissa, on the other hand, presents poor disposition on away trips – only 18% won matches, 45% losses, and a negative goal difference (-7). The guests concede an average of 1.55 goals per away match and fail to score in 36% of encounters. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.81 vs 1.18) and possession (57% vs 40%) additionally speaks for the hosts. Considering all statistical data, AEK Athens should confidently win this meeting before their own crowd.
AEK Athens vs Larissa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AEK Athens played against Larissa in Super League (Greece). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
AEK Athens has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Larissa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
AEK Athens scores 1.87 goals per game and allows 0.65. Larissa scores 0.91 and allows 1.61. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of AEK Athens's games and 52% of Larissa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 39%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AEK Athens has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.23 per game. AEK Athens takes 15.2 shots per game, while Larissa takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
AEK Athens leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.26 goals per game after halftime. Larissa leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
AEK Athens's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Larissa, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Athens presents a decisive advantage in all key statistics. The hosts boast an impressive record of 82% wins at home, averaging 1.91 goals scored while conceding just 0.45 per home match. Their home form (wwwlwwwwwdw) and 64% clean sheets confirm defensive solidity. Larissa, on the other hand, presents poor disposition on away trips – only 18% won matches, 45% losses, and a negative goal difference (-7). The guests concede an average of 1.55 goals per away match and fail to score in 36% of encounters. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.81 vs 1.18) and possession (57% vs 40%) additionally speaks for the hosts. Considering all statistical data, AEK Athens should confidently win this meeting before their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Athens | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AEK Athens is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - AEK Athens · 1 pts / game - Larissa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Athens is 105% better for: goals scored per game.
1.87 goals / game - AEK Athens · 0.91 goals / game - Larissa
AEK Athens is 148% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.65 goals / game - AEK Athens · 1.61 goals / game - Larissa
AEK Athens scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
Larissa scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 57% (13 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Athens
Over / Under - Larissa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Athens is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - AEK Athens · 0.74 pts / game - Larissa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AEK Athens
Larissa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| AEK Athens | Liga | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.52 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 30% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AEK Athens's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Larissa. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Athens vs Larissa?
The Super League match finished AEK Athens 1:0 Larissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Athens vs Larissa?
AEK Athens score 1.87 goals per game on average and Larissa 0.91. The Super League average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 35% of AEK Athens's matches and 52% of Larissa's.
What form are AEK Athens and Larissa in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Athens have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Larissa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Athens vs Larissa?
The statistical background for AEK Athens vs Larissa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.