AEK Larnaca vs Apollon: match statistics
AEK Larnaca displays impressive home form with a 70% win rate at home and an average of 2.3 goals scored per match. The hosts have an advantage in xG (1.64 vs 1.46) and a higher average ball possession in home matches (59%). Apollon is in excellent form with five consecutive victories, but their away statistics are considerably more modest – averaging 1.2 goals per match and only a 60% win rate. AEK Larnaca's goal difference in home matches is +13, which demonstrates the team's solidity at their own stadium. Although Apollon has a 60% clean sheet rate away from home, their lower shooting efficiency (10% shot conversion) could be problematic against hosts who average over two goals per match. Taking all factors into account, AEK Larnaca holds the advantage, although Apollon's good form means a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AEK Larnaca played against Apollon in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
AEK Larnaca has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Apollon has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
AEK Larnaca scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.86. Apollon scores 1.43 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of AEK Larnaca's games and 33% of Apollon's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 48%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Apollon has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.49 per game. AEK Larnaca takes 11.8 shots per game, while Apollon takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
AEK Larnaca leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Apollon leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
AEK Larnaca's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Apollon, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca displays impressive home form with a 70% win rate at home and an average of 2.3 goals scored per match. The hosts have an advantage in xG (1.64 vs 1.46) and a higher average ball possession in home matches (59%). Apollon is in excellent form with five consecutive victories, but their away statistics are considerably more modest – averaging 1.2 goals per match and only a 60% win rate. AEK Larnaca's goal difference in home matches is +13, which demonstrates the team's solidity at their own stadium. Although Apollon has a 60% clean sheet rate away from home, their lower shooting efficiency (10% shot conversion) could be problematic against hosts who average over two goals per match. Taking all factors into account, AEK Larnaca holds the advantage, although Apollon's good form means a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | Apollon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Apollon is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - AEK Larnaca · 3 pts / game - Apollon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.43 goals / game - Apollon
AEK Larnaca is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.86 goals / game - AEK Larnaca · 0.9 goals / game - Apollon
AEK Larnaca scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Apollon keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 meczów).
Apollon scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - Apollon
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.43 pts / game - Apollon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Apollon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AEK Larnaca
Apollon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | Apollon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.86 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 34% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AEK Larnaca's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Apollon. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Apollon?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 0:1 Apollon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Apollon?
AEK Larnaca score 2.00 goals per game on average and Apollon 1.43. The First Division average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 33% of Apollon's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and Apollon in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Apollon 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Apollon?
The statistical background for AEK Larnaca vs Apollon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.