AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos: match statistics
AEK Larnaca is in significantly better form and boasts superior home statistics, with a 64% win rate at their stadium and an impressive goal difference of 43:21 for the season. The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals per home match, complemented by 59% possession and a high 15% conversion rate. Olympiakos performs considerably worse in away fixtures, winning only 27% of matches and conceding an average of 1.18 goals per game while scoring just 0.82. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-4) and the fact they fail to score in 36% of their away games further diminish their chances. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts, who create more chances (1.65 xG) than Olympiakos (1.16 xG), confirming their offensive superiority in this encounter.
AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AEK Larnaca played against Olympiakos in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
AEK Larnaca has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Olympiakos has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
AEK Larnaca scores 1.87 goals per game and allows 0.91. Olympiakos scores 0.83 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of AEK Larnaca's games and 43% of Olympiakos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 35%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AEK Larnaca has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.13 per game. AEK Larnaca takes 12.0 shots per game, while Olympiakos takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
AEK Larnaca leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Olympiakos leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
AEK Larnaca's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Olympiakos, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca is in significantly better form and boasts superior home statistics, with a 64% win rate at their stadium and an impressive goal difference of 43:21 for the season. The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals per home match, complemented by 59% possession and a high 15% conversion rate. Olympiakos performs considerably worse in away fixtures, winning only 27% of matches and conceding an average of 1.18 goals per game while scoring just 0.82. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-4) and the fact they fail to score in 36% of their away games further diminish their chances. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts, who create more chances (1.65 xG) than Olympiakos (1.16 xG), confirming their offensive superiority in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | Olympiakos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AEK Larnaca is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - AEK Larnaca · 0.8 pts / game - Olympiakos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 125% better for: goals scored per game.
1.87 goals / game - AEK Larnaca · 0.83 goals / game - Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.3 goals / game - Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Olympiakos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
Olympiakos scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - Olympiakos
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.96 pts / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.22 pts / game - Olympiakos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Olympiakos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 22%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | Olympiakos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.78 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 34% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AEK Larnaca's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Olympiakos. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 1:1 Olympiakos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
AEK Larnaca score 1.87 goals per game on average and Olympiakos 0.83. The First Division average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 43% of Olympiakos's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and Olympiakos in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Olympiakos 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.