Cyprus - First DivisionAEK Arena - George KarapatakisData current as of October 17, 2026

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: match statistics

AEK Larnaca crest
AEK Larnaca
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Omonia Aradippou crest
Omonia Aradippou

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

AEK Larnaca played against Omonia Aradippou in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on October 12, 2026. Venue: AEK Arena - George Karapatakis. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

AEK Larnaca has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.25 points per game. Omonia Aradippou has 1 win, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.50 points per game.

Scoring records

AEK Larnaca scores 2.25 goals per game and allows 1.00. Omonia Aradippou scores 1.00 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 75% of AEK Larnaca's games and 75% of Omonia Aradippou's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 25%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 71% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AEK Larnaca has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.20 per game. AEK Larnaca takes 11.8 shots per game, while Omonia Aradippou takes 9.5.

First-half and second-half trends

AEK Larnaca leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Omonia Aradippou leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

AEK Larnaca's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Omonia Aradippou, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

First Division games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 71% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals in the process, while Omonia Aradippou have recorded 2 wins and scored 6 goals. The hosts are also more clinical at home, averaging 1.5 goals with a 16% shot conversion rate, while the visitors score 0.5 goals per away match with a 6% conversion rate. However, AEK’s advantage is not clear-cut: they concede chances worth an average xG of 1.91 at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet there. Omonia have conceded an average of just 0.5 goals away from home and have drawn both of their away matches so far, although their opponents have created chances worth an average xG of 2.28. The hosts’ greater attacking efficiency points towards a win, but Omonia’s run of away draws means a share of the points remains a significant possibility.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

In the last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of games, a clear indication in favor of BTTS - Yes. AEK averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded during this period, while Omonia scored 1.2 goals with an average xG of 1.24, so the visitors also have a solid chance of finding the net. The hosts’ prospects are boosted by the fact that Omonia allows chances worth an average xG of 2.28, although they have conceded just 0.5 goals per match so far. Caution is warranted, as Omonia have failed to score in 50% of their matches this season and average only 2.5 shots on target; nevertheless, both teams’ recent scoring form points towards BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in any of AEK’s home matches or Omonia’s away matches so far. AEK average 1.5 goals at home, while Omonia score just 0.5 away, limiting the chances of a very high-scoring game. However, the risk posed by the home side should be considered: they have averaged 2.4 goals across their last 5 matches, and Omonia’s away xG against is 2.28. I therefore estimate a total of 2.45 goals and see a clearer edge on Under 3.5 than on the more demanding Under 2.5 line.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

AEK have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals, while Omonia have won 2 of 5 and averaged 1.2 goals. The home side led at the break in 2 of those 5 matches, while the visitors failed to score before half-time in 4 of 5, pointing to an early AEK advantage. AEK’s average xG is 1.31, while their opponents have conceded chances worth 2.28 xG per match, so the hosts should have opportunities to score. After the break, AEK averaged 1.2 goals across their last five matches, although Omonia conceded just 0.4 goals over that period, making it uncertain whether AEK can hold on to their lead. The strongest scenario, however, remains an AEK lead at the break and a win at the final whistle: HT/FT 1/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

68Possession (%)32
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
19Shots10
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
5Shots on target7
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
2.11xG1.36
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
7Corners2
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
78Dangerous attacks32
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
8Fouls11
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
1Cards2
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
2.25Goals scored / game1
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
1Goals allowed / game0.75
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
51%Average possession48%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
6.25Shots on target / game3.5
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.75Shots per game9.5
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
6.25Shots on target3.5
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
19.1%Shot conversion10.5%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
51%Possession48%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
1.57xG for1.2
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
1.52xG against1.81
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

Shooting quality

AEK Larnaca: Efficient finishingOmonia Aradippou: Balanced
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
Accuracy (shots on target)53%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AEK Larnaca is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2.25 pts / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.5 pts / game - Omonia Aradippou

AEK Larnaca
WWLW
Season result split
75% W0% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 75%
Omonia Aradippou
DWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
25% W75% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-0
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-0
1.50 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 away
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 25%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AEK Larnaca is 125% better for: goals scored per game.

2.25 goals / game - AEK Larnaca · 1 goals / game - Omonia Aradippou

Omonia Aradippou is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - AEK Larnaca · 0.75 goals / game - Omonia Aradippou

AEK Larnaca scoring profile: very strong

AEK Larnaca scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 games), while Omonia Aradippou keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).

Omonia Aradippou scoring profile: very strong

Omonia Aradippou scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 games), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 games).

9Goals scored (season)4
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
4Goals conceded (season)3
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
3.25Average goals per game1.75
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
9Goals scored (last 5)4
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
75%2 goals25%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
50%3 goals0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
25%4 goals0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal75%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
0%2 goals0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
0%3 goals0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
0%4 goals0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
75%Scored in both halves25%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
75%BTTS - last 575%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
75%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEK Larnaca is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - AEK Larnaca · 1 pts / game - Omonia Aradippou

AEK Larnaca - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Omonia Aradippou - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
1.25Goals scored (1st half)0.25
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
1.5Average goals (1st half)0.75
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
75%Clean sheet before half-time50%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
25%No goal before half-time75%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per game (2nd half)2
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
25%Clean sheet after half-time75%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
25%No goal after half-time25%
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

AEK Larnaca - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Omonia Aradippou - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

AEK Larnaca - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.75
Goals scored / game1.31.0
Goals allowed / game0.30.8
Average goals per game1.51.8
1 goal75%100%
2 goals75%50%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet75%25%
No goal25%25%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 5
Omonia Aradippou - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.30.8
Goals allowed / game0.50.3
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal75%75%
2 goals0%25%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%75%
No goal75%25%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 25% leading - 25% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

AEK Larnaca
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Omonia Aradippou
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

AEK Larnaca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.68
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Omonia Aradippou

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

AEK LarnacaLigaOmonia Aradippou
Average goals per game▲ 3.253.06▼ 1.75
Both teams scored▲ 75%62%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%71%▼ 25%
Clean sheets▼ 0%25%• 25%
Goal before half-time• 75%74%• 75%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.06
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.56
Away goals / game
+-4%
Home attack advantage
+-4%
Home defensive advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
68%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AEK LarnacaYellow cardMike van der Hoorn
  2. Omonia AradippouYellow cardGiorgos Pontikos
  3. Omonia AradippouSubstitutionOn: Konstantinos EvripidouOff: Niko Havelka
  4. Omonia AradippouSubstitutionOn: Curtis Junior Makosso MoungadjiOff: Giorgos Pontikos
  5. AEK LarnacaSubstitutionOn: Jorge Miramón SantagertrudisOff: Kostas Pileas
  6. Omonia AradippouYellow cardJeremy van Mullem
  7. AEK LarnacaGoalNicolás Andereggen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from AEK Larnaca's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Omonia Aradippou. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
1 : 0
Omonia Aradippou

FAQ

What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?

The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 1:0 Omonia Aradippou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 1, Omonia Aradippou won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?

AEK Larnaca score 2.25 goals per game on average and Omonia Aradippou 1.00. The First Division average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 75% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 75% of Omonia Aradippou's.

What form are AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou in?

Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Omonia Aradippou 1-3-0 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.