AEL vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

AEL played against AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on December 22, 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

AEL has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. AEK Larnaca has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

AEL scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.50. AEK Larnaca scores 1.86 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 36% of AEL's games and 64% of AEK Larnaca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 43%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AEK Larnaca has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.05 per game. AEL takes 7.9 shots per game, while AEK Larnaca takes 13.2.

First-half and second-half trends

AEL leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. AEK Larnaca leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.86 after halftime.

When the teams score

AEL's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For AEK Larnaca, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

First Division games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
AELAEK Larnaca
4Shots5
AELAEK Larnaca
0Shots on target3
AELAEK Larnaca
0.53xG0.96
AELAEK Larnaca
1Corners4
AELAEK Larnaca
37Dangerous attacks59
AELAEK Larnaca
19Fouls12
AELAEK Larnaca
3Cards1
AELAEK Larnaca

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.36Goals scored / game1.86
AELAEK Larnaca
1.5Goals allowed / game1
AELAEK Larnaca
46%Average possession59%
AELAEK Larnaca
2.71Shots on target / game4.29
AELAEK Larnaca

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.86Shots per game13.21
AELAEK Larnaca
2.71Shots on target4.29
AELAEK Larnaca
17.3%Shot conversion14.1%
AELAEK Larnaca
46%Possession59%
AELAEK Larnaca
1.05xG for1.59
AELAEK Larnaca
1.33xG against1.03
AELAEK Larnaca

Shooting quality

AEL: Counter-attackingAEK Larnaca: Efficient finishing
AELAEK Larnaca
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AEL
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
43% W21% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-5
1.50 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
AEK Larnaca
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-2
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AEK Larnaca is 37% better for: goals scored per game.

1.36 goals / game - AEL · 1.86 goals / game - AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - AEL · 1 goals / game - AEK Larnaca

AEL scoring profile: strong

AEL scores in 57% of games (8 of 14 meczów), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).

AEK Larnaca scoring profile: very strong

AEK Larnaca scores in 93% of games (13 of 14 meczów), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).

19Goals scored (season)26
AELAEK Larnaca
21Goals conceded (season)14
AELAEK Larnaca
2.86Average goals per game2.86
AELAEK Larnaca
10Goals scored (last 5)9
AELAEK Larnaca
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
AELAEK Larnaca

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal93%
AELAEK Larnaca
50%2 goals57%
AELAEK Larnaca
21%3 goals21%
AELAEK Larnaca
7%4 goals14%
AELAEK Larnaca

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
AELAEK Larnaca
43%2 goals14%
AELAEK Larnaca
14%3 goals7%
AELAEK Larnaca
14%4 goals7%
AELAEK Larnaca

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
AELAEK Larnaca
0%BTTS in both halves14%
AELAEK Larnaca
29%Scored in both halves43%
AELAEK Larnaca

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
AELAEK Larnaca
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
AELAEK Larnaca
60%BTTS - last 580%
AELAEK Larnaca

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
AELAEK Larnaca
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
AELAEK Larnaca
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
AELAEK Larnaca

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
AELAEK Larnaca
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
AELAEK Larnaca
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
AELAEK Larnaca

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEK Larnaca is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / game - AEL · 1.79 pts / game - AEK Larnaca

AEL - half-time state
29% leading36% draw36% trailing
AEK Larnaca - half-time state
50% leading29% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per game (1st half)1.79
AELAEK Larnaca
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1
AELAEK Larnaca
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
AELAEK Larnaca
1Average goals (1st half)1.5
AELAEK Larnaca
50%Clean sheet before half-time57%
AELAEK Larnaca
64%No goal before half-time36%
AELAEK Larnaca

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)1.79
AELAEK Larnaca
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
AELAEK Larnaca
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
AELAEK Larnaca
1.86Average goals (2nd half)1.36
AELAEK Larnaca
57%Clean sheet after half-time57%
AELAEK Larnaca
50%No goal after half-time29%
AELAEK Larnaca

AEL - second-half results

43% W21% D36% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AEK Larnaca - second-half results

50% W29% D21% L
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

AEL - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.00
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
AEK Larnaca - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.80
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.80.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

AEL
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

AEK Larnaca
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

AEL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

AEK Larnaca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
158%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

AELLigaAEK Larnaca
Average goals per game 2.862.57 2.86
Both teams scored 36%40% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%48% 43%
Clean sheets 29%33% 29%
Goal before half-time 71%72% 79%
Goal after half-time 79%81% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / game
1.18
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AEK LarnacaGoalEnzo Cabrera
  2. AELYellow cardDušan Stevanović
  3. AELYellow cardNemanja Glavčić
  4. AELYellow cardLuka Bogdan
  5. AELSubstitutionOn: Bassel Zakaria JradiOff: Július Szoke
  6. AEK LarnacaYellow cardElohor Godswill Ekpolo
  7. AEK LarnacaSubstitutionOn: Ángel García CabezaliOff: Jairo Izquierdo González

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Demetris SolomouMatches officiated: 12
4.08Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 257%Home wins17%Draws25%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from AEL's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against AEK Larnaca. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

AEK Larnaca
2 : 0
AEL

FAQ

What was the result of AEL vs AEK Larnaca?

The First Division match finished AEL 0:1 AEK Larnaca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs AEK Larnaca?

AEL score 1.36 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 1.86. The First Division average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 36% of AEL's matches and 64% of AEK Larnaca's.

What form are AEL and AEK Larnaca in?

Over the last 5 games AEL have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs AEK Larnaca?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AEL vs AEK Larnaca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.