AEL vs Aris: match statistics
Aris is displaying significantly better form and statistics this season, occupying 4th place in the table with 11 wins compared to just 8 for AEL (7th place). The visitors stand out with a far superior overall goal difference (38:17 vs 23:26) and an impressive clean sheet rate away from home (56%). Aris dominates in key offensive metrics - a higher average xG (1.43 vs 1.23) and greater shooting efficiency in away matches. While AEL does have a decent home form (44% win rate), the last 5 overall matches show instability from both sides, with Aris holding a better goal difference in that period (7:6 vs 5:4). Considering the visitors' higher quality of play, their solid away defense, and the advantage in head-to-head stats, I am tipping an Aris victory, though the hosts may put up some resistance on home soil.
AEL vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AEL played against Aris in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
AEL has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Aris has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
AEL scores 1.21 goals per game and allows 1.37. Aris scores 2.00 and allows 0.89. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 32% of AEL's games and 37% of Aris's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 58%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aris has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.08 per game. AEL takes 8.0 shots per game, while Aris takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
AEL leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Aris leads at halftime in 47% and scores 1.05 after halftime.
When the teams score
AEL's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Aris, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aris is displaying significantly better form and statistics this season, occupying 4th place in the table with 11 wins compared to just 8 for AEL (7th place). The visitors stand out with a far superior overall goal difference (38:17 vs 23:26) and an impressive clean sheet rate away from home (56%). Aris dominates in key offensive metrics - a higher average xG (1.43 vs 1.23) and greater shooting efficiency in away matches. While AEL does have a decent home form (44% win rate), the last 5 overall matches show instability from both sides, with Aris holding a better goal difference in that period (7:6 vs 5:4). Considering the visitors' higher quality of play, their solid away defense, and the advantage in head-to-head stats, I am tipping an Aris victory, though the hosts may put up some resistance on home soil.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Aris is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - AEL · 1.6 pts / game - Aris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aris is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
1.21 goals / game - AEL · 2 goals / game - Aris
Aris is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.37 goals / game - AEL · 0.89 goals / game - Aris
AEL scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 58% (11 of 19 meczów).
Aris scores in 84% of games (16 of 19 meczów), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Aris
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aris is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / game - AEL · 1.79 pts / game - Aris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AEL
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.58 | 2.54 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 37% | • 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AEL's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Aris. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs Aris?
The First Division match finished AEL 2:1 Aris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Aris?
AEL score 1.21 goals per game on average and Aris 2.00. The First Division average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 32% of AEL's matches and 37% of Aris's.
What form are AEL and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Aris 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Aris?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.