AEP Polemidion vs Ermis: match statistics
AEP Polemidion vs Ermis: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AEP Polemidion played against Ermis in Second Division (Cyprus). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
AEP Polemidion has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.50 points per game. Ermis has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 1.50 points per game.
Scoring records
AEP Polemidion scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Ermis scores 1.50 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of AEP Polemidion's games and 50% of Ermis's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ermis has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 0.78 per game. AEP Polemidion takes 2.0 shots per game, while Ermis takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
AEP Polemidion leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Ermis leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
AEP Polemidion's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). For Ermis, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Second Division games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEP Polemidion have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals, while Ermis have recorded 2 wins and scored 5. The hosts are therefore creating slightly more threat, although their defense has conceded 7 goals over this period, compared with 4 by the visitors. AEP are also backed by the only listed home fixture, which ended in a 1:0 win. However, the hosts’ advantage is not substantial: Ermis sit 8th in the table, with AEP 10th, and the data on scoring chances do not allow for a reliable comparison of their quality. Given these limitations, recent scoring form and home advantage support a cautious pick on AEP Polemidion.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams recorded BTTS in 40% of their last 5 matches, giving a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score. Ermis averaged 1.0 goals per match over this period, with an xG of 0.92, so an away goal is far from certain despite AEP Polemidion conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. On the other hand, the hosts averaged 1.6 goals, while Ermis conceded just 0.8 goals per match and allowed opponents an xG of 0.57. Ermis's away figures of 0.0 goals and 0.0 xG are inconsistent with its record over the last 5 matches, so I do not consider them a decisive factor. With both teams at 40% for BTTS in their last 5 matches and the visitors' defense having looked more solid recently, BTTS - No has a slight edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, AEP Polemidion averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Ermis averaged 1.0 scored and just 0.8 conceded. Although at least 3 goals were scored in 60% of AEP’s matches during this period, the figure for Ermis was only 20%, pointing against a high-scoring game. The hosts record an xG of 1.42 at home, while Ermis have limited their opponents to an average of 0.57 xG over their last 5 matches, so I do not expect AEP to score multiple goals with ease. The projected total of 2.30 goals is also below the league average of 2.69; therefore, Under 3.5 goals, with an 80% probability, is the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Ermis were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while AEP Polemidion were level in 2 of 5; both teams averaged 0.4 goals before half-time over this period. The hosts failed to score in the first half in 4 of those 5 matches, making an early lead less likely than a later turnaround. After the break, AEP averaged 1.2 goals compared with Ermis’s 0.6, and won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors recorded 2 wins. This points towards an X/1 scenario, although the visitors have conceded only 0.8 goals per match recently, so the hosts do not have a decisive edge. Ermis’s zero figures in the away statistics are not sufficient grounds to assume that the team poses no threat.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AEP Polemidion | Ermis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 72% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.39 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.00 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ermis is 200% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - AEP Polemidion · 1.5 goals / game - Ermis
Ermis is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - AEP Polemidion · 1 goals / game - Ermis
AEP Polemidion scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Ermis keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
Ermis scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while AEP Polemidion keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEP Polemidion
Over / Under - Ermis
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ermis is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - AEP Polemidion · 2 pts / game - Ermis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEP Polemidion - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ermis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AEP Polemidion
Ermis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| AEP Polemidion | Liga | Ermis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of AEP Polemidion vs Ermis?
The Second Division match finished AEP Polemidion 0:1 Ermis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEP Polemidion vs Ermis?
AEP Polemidion score 0.50 goals per game on average and Ermis 1.50. The Second Division average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 0% of AEP Polemidion's matches and 50% of Ermis's.
What form are AEP Polemidion and Ermis in?
Over the last 5 games AEP Polemidion have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Ermis 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEP Polemidion vs Ermis?
The statistical background for AEP Polemidion vs Ermis — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.