AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: match statistics
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AF Elbasani play Egnatia Rrogozhinë in Superliga (Albania). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 19:00. Venue: Elbasan Arena. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
AF Elbasani: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AF Elbasani scores 1.28 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Egnatia Rrogozhinë scores 1.28 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AF Elbasani 56%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 33%. Over 2.5: AF Elbasani 51%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.28. AF Elbasani: 9.9 shots per match, Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 11.3.
Match halves
AF Elbasani: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.82. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
AF Elbasani: 76-90+ (14 goals). Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-3-0. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 50%.
Match description
AF Elbasani are favorites due to very strong home metrics: they win 56% of home matches, score on average 1.28 goals and concede only 0.67 goals per game with 50% clean sheets. Egnatia display weaker away offensive and defensive parameters — they score 0.83 goals on average, have 39% of matches without scoring and concede 1.06 goals away, with an away goal difference of -4. Chance creation favors the hosts: home xG for AF is 1.39 versus 1.26 xG for visitors away, and the hosts average 10.83 shots (4.33 on target) against Egnatia’s 9.44 (3.61 on target), with conversion rates of 12% vs 9%. One must account for AF’s poorer form in the last 5 matches (1W, 1D, 3L, 0.8 pts per game) versus Egnatia (2W, 3L, 1.2 pts per game), which increases upset risk. Considering the hosts’ defensive and finishing advantage and the higher risk of goalless outings for the visitors (17% of hosts fail to score vs 39% for Egnatia), I tip an AF Elbasani win and estimate probabilities at 58% home, 20% draw and 22% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AF Elbasani | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - AF Elbasani · 2.4 pts / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - AF Elbasani · 0.9 goals / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AF Elbasani scores in 82% of matches (32 of 39 matches), while Egnatia Rrogozhinë keeps a clean sheet in 44% (17 of 39 matches).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while AF Elbasani keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AF Elbasani
Over / Under — Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - AF Elbasani · 1.46 pts / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AF Elbasani - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AF Elbasani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| AF Elbasani | Liga | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.44 | 2.23 | • 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 51% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 32% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): AF Elbasani 1 - 3 - 0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
The Superliga match finished AF Elbasani 0:4 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AF Elbasani and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches AF Elbasani won 1, Egnatia Rrogozhinë won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
AF Elbasani score 1.28 goals per game on average and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.28. The Superliga average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 56% of AF Elbasani's matches and 33% of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's.
What form are AF Elbasani and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in?
Over the last 5 games AF Elbasani have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.