AF Elbasani vs Tirana: match statistics
AF Elbasani vs Tirana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AF Elbasani play Tirana in Superliga (Albania). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
AF Elbasani: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Tirana: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AF Elbasani scores 1.28 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Tirana scores 1.00 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AF Elbasani 56%, Tirana 50%. Over 2.5: AF Elbasani 51%, Tirana 31%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
AF Elbasani has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.11. AF Elbasani: 9.9 shots per match, Tirana: 8.2.
Match halves
AF Elbasani: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.82. Tirana: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
AF Elbasani: 76-90+ (14 goals). Tirana: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
AF Elbasani are the favorites: at home they have a 59% win rate, scored 47 goals this season, average 1.29 goals scored and only 0.53 conceded per home match. Their home xG is 1.41, while Tirana’s away xG is 1.02, and the hosts average 4.35 shots on target per game versus 2.82 for the visitors, indicating a clear advantage in chance quality. Tirana arrive in very good form — 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, 2.6 points per game and 8 goals in that period — but away they score only 1.00 goal and concede 1.47 on average, which reduces their effectiveness. The defensive difference is key: the hosts keep a clean sheet in 53% of home games, while the visitors do so in only 29% of away matches, and the gap in average goals conceded (0.53 vs 1.47) favors Elbasani. Considering the higher quality of chances (xG 1.41 vs 1.02), superior shooting statistics and the hosts’ stable defence, I back an AF Elbasani win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AF Elbasani | Tirana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tirana is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - AF Elbasani · 2.6 pts / match - Tirana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AF Elbasani is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - AF Elbasani · 1 goals / match - Tirana
AF Elbasani is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - AF Elbasani · 1.28 goals / match - Tirana
AF Elbasani scores in 82% of matches (32 of 39 matches), while Tirana keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Tirana scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while AF Elbasani keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AF Elbasani
Over / Under — Tirana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AF Elbasani is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - AF Elbasani · 1.11 pts / match - Tirana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AF Elbasani - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tirana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AF Elbasani
Tirana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| AF Elbasani | Liga | Tirana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.44 | 2.23 | • 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 51% | 37% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 32% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): AF Elbasani 2 - 1 - 0 Tirana. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
The Superliga match finished AF Elbasani 1:3 Tirana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AF Elbasani and Tirana?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches AF Elbasani won 2, Tirana won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
AF Elbasani score 1.28 goals per game on average and Tirana 1.00. The Superliga average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 56% of AF Elbasani's matches and 50% of Tirana's.
What form are AF Elbasani and Tirana in?
Over the last 5 games AF Elbasani have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Tirana 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AF Elbasani vs Tirana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AF Elbasani vs Tirana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.