AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal: match statistics
As league leaders, Arsenal displays decidedly superior form, averaging 2.6 points per match over their last five outings, whereas Bournemouth has managed just 0.8. The Gunners have secured victory in 4 of their last 5 fixtures and hold an impressive record of 14 seasonal wins, making them the clear favourites. Bournemouth, winless in their last 5 games and languishing in 15th place, faces significantly reduced odds. While the hosts have been effective at home (44% win rate), Arsenal boasts a superior defence (12 goals conceded against Bournemouth's 35) and a comparable attack. Although xG statistics (1.6 vs 1.62) and possession (56% vs 57%) are level, the disparity in current form and league standing strongly favours an away win.
AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AFC Bournemouth played against Arsenal in Premier League (England). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Arsenal has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
AFC Bournemouth scores 1.53 goals per game and allows 1.84. Arsenal scores 1.95 and allows 0.63. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of AFC Bournemouth's games and 47% of Arsenal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 47%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arsenal has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.63 per game. AFC Bournemouth takes 13.8 shots per game, while Arsenal takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
AFC Bournemouth leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Arsenal leads at halftime in 53% and scores 1.26 after halftime.
When the teams score
AFC Bournemouth's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Arsenal, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As league leaders, Arsenal displays decidedly superior form, averaging 2.6 points per match over their last five outings, whereas Bournemouth has managed just 0.8. The Gunners have secured victory in 4 of their last 5 fixtures and hold an impressive record of 14 seasonal wins, making them the clear favorites. Bournemouth, winless in their last 5 games and languishing in 15th place, faces significantly reduced odds. While the hosts have been effective at home (44% win rate), Arsenal boasts a superior defense (12 goals conceded against Bournemouth's 35) and a comparable attack. Although xG statistics (1.6 vs 1.62) and possession (56% vs 57%) are level, the disparity in current form and league standing strongly favors an away win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Bournemouth | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Arsenal is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - AFC Bournemouth · 2.4 pts / game - Arsenal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.53 goals / game - AFC Bournemouth · 1.95 goals / game - Arsenal
Arsenal is 192% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.84 goals / game - AFC Bournemouth · 0.63 goals / game - Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth scores in 79% of games (15 of 19 meczów), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 meczów).
Arsenal scores in 95% of games (18 of 19 meczów), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Bournemouth
Over / Under - Arsenal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arsenal is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / game - AFC Bournemouth · 1.84 pts / game - Arsenal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 26%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 74%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AFC Bournemouth
Arsenal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| AFC Bournemouth | Liga | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.37 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
The Premier League match finished AFC Bournemouth 2:3 Arsenal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
AFC Bournemouth score 1.53 goals per game on average and Arsenal 1.95. The Premier League average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 63% of AFC Bournemouth's matches and 47% of Arsenal's.
What form are AFC Bournemouth and Arsenal in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Bournemouth have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Arsenal 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.