AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United: match statistics
Manchester United are displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game compared to Bournemouth's 1.4. The visitors are 3rd in the table and have a much better overall season record (15 wins to the hosts' 9). Bournemouth have not suffered a single defeat in their last five home games, but four of those matches ended in draws, indicating difficulty in breaking down opponents. Manchester United score on average the same number of goals as the hosts in away matches (1.6), but boast a better conversion rate (11% vs 10%) and a higher possession percentage (54%). The key factor is the difference in form - United have won three of their last five matches, while Bournemouth have only managed one, which points towards an away victory.
AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Bournemouth play Manchester United in Premier League (England). The match date is 20 March 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
AFC Bournemouth: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Manchester United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Bournemouth scores 1.53 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Manchester United scores 1.82 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Bournemouth 66%, Manchester United 71%. Over 2.5: AFC Bournemouth 55%, Manchester United 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester United has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.56. AFC Bournemouth: 13.8 shots per match, Manchester United: 15.7.
Match halves
AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.84. Manchester United: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (16 goals). Manchester United: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Manchester United are displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2 points per game compared to Bournemouth's 1.4. The visitors are 3rd in the table and have a much better overall season record (15 wins to the hosts' 9). Bournemouth have not suffered a single defeat in their last five home games, but four of those matches ended in draws, indicating difficulty in breaking down opponents. Manchester United score on average the same number of goals as the hosts in away matches (1.6), but boast a better conversion rate (11% vs 10%) and a higher possession percentage (54%). The key factor is the difference in form - United have won three of their last five matches, while Bournemouth have only managed one, which points towards an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Bournemouth | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester United is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 2.6 pts / match - Manchester United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester United is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.82 goals / match - Manchester United
Manchester United is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.32 goals / match - Manchester United
AFC Bournemouth scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Manchester United scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AFC Bournemouth
Over / Under — Manchester United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester United is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.63 pts / match - Manchester United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Manchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| AFC Bournemouth | Liga | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.75 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 1 - 0 Manchester United. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
The Premier League match finished AFC Bournemouth 2:2 Manchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
AFC Bournemouth score 1.53 goals per game on average and Manchester United 1.82. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of AFC Bournemouth's matches and 71% of Manchester United's.
What form are AFC Bournemouth and Manchester United in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Bournemouth have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Manchester United 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.