AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Bolton Wanderers are 3rd in the table and are in significantly better form than AFC Wimbledon (17th place), as confirmed by their advantage in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG). The visitors dominate in terms of possession (61% vs 49%) and generate more goal-scoring opportunities, as reflected in their higher average xG (1.6 vs 1.13 in home/away matches). AFC Wimbledon fail to score in 50% of their home games and have poor efficiency (8% conversion rate), while Bolton have only 29% FTS% away from home. Bolton's high draw percentage away from home (43%) and the relatively balanced defensive stats of both teams suggest the possibility of a draw; however, the visitors' better form and quality point towards their victory. Considering all the data, Bolton are the most likely to win, although a draw remains a realistic option due to their tendency to share points on the road.
AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AFC Wimbledon played against Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
AFC Wimbledon has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Bolton Wanderers has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
AFC Wimbledon scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.35. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.28 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of AFC Wimbledon's games and 55% of Bolton Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 41%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Bolton Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.10 per game. AFC Wimbledon takes 9.7 shots per game, while Bolton Wanderers takes 16.5.
First-half and second-half trends
AFC Wimbledon leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Bolton Wanderers leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
AFC Wimbledon's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Bolton Wanderers, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bolton Wanderers are 3rd in the table and are in significantly better form than AFC Wimbledon (17th place), as confirmed by their advantage in the last five matches (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG). The visitors dominate in terms of possession (61% vs 49%) and generate more goal-scoring opportunities, as reflected in their higher average xG (1.6 vs 1.13 in home/away matches). AFC Wimbledon fail to score in 50% of their home games and have poor efficiency (8% conversion rate), while Bolton have only 29% FTS% away from home. Bolton's high draw percentage away from home (43%) and the relatively balanced defensive stats of both teams suggest the possibility of a draw; however, the visitors' better form and quality point towards their victory. Considering all the data, Bolton are the most likely to win, although a draw remains a realistic option due to their tendency to share points on the road.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Wimbledon | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bolton Wanderers is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - AFC Wimbledon · 2 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - AFC Wimbledon · 1.28 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers is 45% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.35 goals / game - AFC Wimbledon · 0.93 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers
AFC Wimbledon scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AFC Wimbledon
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| AFC Wimbledon | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.42 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 68% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AFC Wimbledon's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bolton Wanderers. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished AFC Wimbledon 0:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers?
AFC Wimbledon score 1.08 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.28. The EFL League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 46% of AFC Wimbledon's matches and 55% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are AFC Wimbledon and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Wimbledon have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.