AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers: match statistics
AFC Wimbledon holds a clear advantage as the host of this encounter. The home side records a 36% win rate at their own stadium and maintains a positive goal difference of +2 in domestic matches, whereas Doncaster Rovers performs very poorly on the road with just 17% wins and a catastrophic goal difference of -13. The visitors concede an average of 1.92 goals per away match, which, combined with their 50% failure rate in scoring, makes them highly susceptible to defeat. The form of both teams in the last five matches also favors the hosts—AFC Wimbledon earned 1.4 PPG compared to Doncaster's 0.8. Additionally, Wimbledon boasts a better clean sheet ratio at home (36%) than the guests do away (17%), suggesting greater defensive stability. Considering all these factors, an AFC Wimbledon victory is the most likely result, although the poor efficiency of both teams could potentially lead to a draw.
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Wimbledon play Doncaster Rovers in EFL League One (England). The match date is 17 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
AFC Wimbledon: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Doncaster Rovers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Wimbledon scores 1.11 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Doncaster Rovers scores 1.09 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Wimbledon 46%, Doncaster Rovers 50%. Over 2.5: AFC Wimbledon 50%, Doncaster Rovers 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Doncaster Rovers has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.20. AFC Wimbledon: 10.5 shots per match, Doncaster Rovers: 12.6.
Match halves
AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61. Doncaster Rovers: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (12 goals). Doncaster Rovers: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
AFC Wimbledon holds a clear advantage as the host of this encounter. The home side records a 36% win rate at their own stadium and maintains a positive goal difference of +2 in domestic matches, whereas Doncaster Rovers performs very poorly on the road with just 17% wins and a catastrophic goal difference of -13. The visitors concede an average of 1.92 goals per away match, which, combined with their 50% failure rate in scoring, makes them highly susceptible to defeat. The form of both teams in the last five matches also favors the hosts—AFC Wimbledon earned 1.4 PPG compared to Doncaster's 0.8. Additionally, Wimbledon boasts a better clean sheet ratio at home (36%) than the guests do away (17%), suggesting greater defensive stability. Considering all these factors, an AFC Wimbledon victory is the most likely result, although the poor efficiency of both teams could potentially lead to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Wimbledon | Doncaster Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Doncaster Rovers is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon · 2 pts / match - Doncaster Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Doncaster Rovers is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.5 goals / match - Doncaster Rovers
AFC Wimbledon scores in 59% of matches (27 of 46 matches), while Doncaster Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
Doncaster Rovers scores in 70% of matches (32 of 46 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AFC Wimbledon
Over / Under — Doncaster Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Doncaster Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Wimbledon
Doncaster Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| AFC Wimbledon | Liga | Doncaster Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.62 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 - 0 Doncaster Rovers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers?
The EFL League One match finished AFC Wimbledon 0:1 Doncaster Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers?
AFC Wimbledon score 1.11 goals per game on average and Doncaster Rovers 1.09. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 46% of AFC Wimbledon's matches and 50% of Doncaster Rovers's.
What form are AFC Wimbledon and Doncaster Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Wimbledon have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Doncaster Rovers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.