AGMK vs Buxoro: match statistics
AGMK vs Buxoro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AGMK play Buxoro in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
AGMK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Buxoro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AGMK scores 1.27 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Buxoro scores 1.33 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AGMK 64%, Buxoro 58%. Over 2.5: AGMK 55%, Buxoro 42%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
AGMK has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.37. AGMK: 11.6 shots per match, Buxoro: 11.4.
Match halves
AGMK: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Buxoro: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
AGMK: 0-15 (3 goals). Buxoro: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back an away win for Buxoro. The numbers support this: Buxoro sits 4th in the table versus AGMK’s 9th, has 4 wins this season compared to the hosts’ 2, and has scored 10 goals versus 7. Additionally, the visitors have conceded only 6 goals this season versus 9 for AGMK, and away they haven’t had a match without scoring (0% matches without a goal), while AGMK have yet to win at home (0% home wins) and failed to score in 33% of their home games. On the other hand, AGMK create more chances at home — home xG is 1.57 with an average of 4.67 shots on target per match versus Buxoro’s 1.10 xG and 3.0 shots on target on the road — which suggests the hosts can be dangerous. Both teams share the same average points over the last 5 matches (1.6 points per game), but the better win and goal record of the visitors (4 wins; goal difference 10–6) leads me to predict a narrow Buxoro victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AGMK | Buxoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AGMK is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - AGMK · 1.2 pts / match - Buxoro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Buxoro is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - AGMK · 1.33 goals / match - Buxoro
Buxoro is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - AGMK · 1.08 goals / match - Buxoro
AGMK scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Buxoro keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Buxoro scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AGMK
Over / Under — Buxoro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Buxoro is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - AGMK · 1.58 pts / match - Buxoro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AGMK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Buxoro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AGMK
Buxoro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| AGMK | Liga | Buxoro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.55 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AGMK 2 - 0 - 0 Buxoro. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AGMK vs Buxoro?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished AGMK 3:2 Buxoro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AGMK and Buxoro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AGMK won 2, Buxoro won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AGMK vs Buxoro?
AGMK score 1.27 goals per game on average and Buxoro 1.33. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of AGMK's matches and 58% of Buxoro's.
What form are AGMK and Buxoro in?
Over the last 5 games AGMK have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Buxoro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AGMK vs Buxoro?
The statistical background for AGMK vs Buxoro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.