AGMK vs Mash'al: match statistics
AGMK vs Mash'al: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AGMK played against Mash'al in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The game was played on July 27, 2026. Venue: OKMK Sport Majmuasi. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
AGMK has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Mash'al has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
AGMK scores 1.62 goals per game and allows 1.31. Mash'al scores 0.46 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of AGMK's games and 38% of Mash'al's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 38%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AGMK has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.01 per game. AGMK takes 12.3 shots per game, while Mash'al takes 7.9.
First-half and second-half trends
AGMK leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Mash'al leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.31 after halftime.
When the teams score
AGMK's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Mash'al, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uzbekistan Super League games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AGMK appears favorite based on standings and recent form: the hosts sit 4th with 6 wins this season versus Mash'al’s 1 win and 16th place. In the last 5 matches AGMK scored 15 goals (3.0 per game) while Mash'al scored 6 (1.2 per game); season average goals at home are 1.33 for AGMK versus 0.67 for the away side. In chance quality AGMK posts a home xG of 1.54 compared to Mash'al’s away xG of 0.86, also creating more shots (13.17 vs 6.83) and shots on target (4.17 vs 2.33). Defensively the edge is also with AGMK: the hosts concede 1.17 goals at home on average, while Mash'al concede 2.33 on the road and have a 100% loss rate in away matches this season. Therefore I estimate roughly a 70% probability of an AGMK win, 18% draw and 12% Mash'al win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Mash'al has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and concedes an average of 2.33 goals per match, while AGMK has a seasonal BTTS of just 14% and scores 0.29 goals per match. However, in the last 5 matches AGMK records 100% BTTS, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, whereas Mash'al in the last 5 has 60% BTTS and scores 1.2 on average. xG is 1.17 for the home side and 0.86 for the visitors, total xG ~2.03, and the hosts average 3.57 shots on target versus 2.33 for the guests, which suggests chance creation by both sides. Additionally, the visitors have 0% clean sheets this season and the league average BTTS is 56%, so the signals predominantly indicate BTTS - Yes (both teams to score).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: AGMK's attack is 1.17 xG per match and Mash'al's defense concedes 2.03 xG, yielding an average of 1.60 expected goals for the home side; conversely Mash'al posts 0.86 xG in attack while AGMK concedes 1.53 xG, averaging 1.20 for the visitors — a total of 2.80 expected goals. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.80 the probability of over 1.5 goals is roughly 77% (P(0)+P(1)≈23%), over 2.5 about 53%, and over 3.5 about 31%. Supporting the over are AGMK’s last 5 matches: 15 goals scored (3.0 average) and 100% of matches over 2.5, while Mash'al have 83% of season matches over 2.5 and 67% BTTS, which increases the likelihood of more goals. Additionally AGMK averages 8.86 shots with 3.57 on target at a low conversion rate of 3%, whereas Mash'al average 6.83 shots with 2.33 on target and a 10% conversion, suggesting the combination of chance creation and the visitors’ efficiency can translate into goals. Therefore the strongest data signal is over the 1.5 line (over 1.5) with an estimated probability ≈77%, while over 2.5 (≈53%) is less decisive and carries more risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
AGMK is in better form: in the last 5 matches they have won 4 of 5 (80%), while Mash'al has no wins this season (0%) and has lost all matches (100%), which strongly favors the home side. At half-time the hosts draw frequently — 71% of their matches are level after 45 minutes, and the average first-half goals are 0.14 for AGMK and 0.17 for Mash'al, so I anticipate a low-scoring opening act. After the break AGMK look stronger offensively: in the last 5 fixtures they have averaged 1.8 goals in second halves versus 0.8 for Mash'al, and the hosts’ xG is 1.17 compared to the visitors’ 0.86, indicating more created opportunities. Additionally, Mash'al score only 0.67 goals per game and concede on average 2.33, so if the match is level at half-time a takeover of initiative and a victory for AGMK is more likely. On this basis I recommend HT/FT draw/home win (X/1) as the most probable scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AGMK | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AGMK is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - AGMK · 0.8 pts / game - Mash'al
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AGMK is 252% better for: goals scored per game.
1.62 goals / game - AGMK · 0.46 goals / game - Mash'al
AGMK is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - AGMK · 1.69 goals / game - Mash'al
AGMK scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 meczów).
Mash'al scores in 46% of games (6 of 13 meczów), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AGMK
Over / Under - Mash'al
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AGMK is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - AGMK · 0.46 pts / game - Mash'al
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AGMK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mash'al - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AGMK
Mash'al
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| AGMK | Liga | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.92 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 25% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from AGMK's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mash'al. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AGMK vs Mash'al?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished AGMK 2:1 Mash'al. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AGMK and Mash'al?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AGMK won 2, Mash'al won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AGMK vs Mash'al?
AGMK score 1.62 goals per game on average and Mash'al 0.46. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 69% of AGMK's matches and 38% of Mash'al's.
What form are AGMK and Mash'al in?
Over the last 5 games AGMK have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Mash'al 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AGMK vs Mash'al?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.