Uzbekistan - Uzbekistan Super LeagueOKMK Sport MajmuasiData current as of 03 August 2026

AGMK vs Nasaf: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

AGMK vs Nasaf: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AGMK play Nasaf in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 3 August 2026. Venue: OKMK Sport Majmuasi.

Current form

AGMK: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Nasaf: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

AGMK scores 1.64 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Nasaf scores 1.21 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AGMK 71%, Nasaf 57%. Over 2.5: AGMK 64%, Nasaf 29%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Nasaf has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.52. AGMK: 13.0 shots per match, Nasaf: 13.7.

Match halves

AGMK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.07. Nasaf: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

AGMK: 46-60 (6 goals). Nasaf: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uzbekistan Super League: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.64Goals scored / match1.21
AGMKNasaf
1.29Goals conceded / match0.93
AGMKNasaf
52%Average possession54%
AGMKNasaf
4.07Shots on target / match4.64
AGMKNasaf

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match13.71
AGMKNasaf
4.07Shots on target4.64
AGMKNasaf
12.6%Shot conversion8.9%
AGMKNasaf
52%Possession54%
AGMKNasaf
1.52xG for1.54
AGMKNasaf
1.42xG against1.31
AGMKNasaf

Shooting quality

AGMK: BalancedNasaf: Balanced
AGMKNasaf
Accuracy (shots on target)31%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

AGMK is 44% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - AGMK · 1.8 pts / match - Nasaf

AGMK
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W29% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-3
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Nasaf
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
36% W43% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-3
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AGMK is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.64 goals / match - AGMK · 1.21 goals / match - Nasaf

Nasaf is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - AGMK · 0.93 goals / match - Nasaf

AGMK scoring profile: strong

AGMK scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Nasaf keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).

Nasaf scoring profile: very strong

Nasaf scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).

23Goals scored (season)17
AGMKNasaf
18Goals conceded (season)13
AGMKNasaf
2.93Average goals in match2.14
AGMKNasaf
11Goals scored (last 5)7
AGMKNasaf
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
AGMKNasaf

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal86%
AGMKNasaf
57%2 goals29%
AGMKNasaf
21%3 goals7%
AGMKNasaf
7%4 goals0%
AGMKNasaf

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal64%
AGMKNasaf
36%2 goals21%
AGMKNasaf
7%3 goals7%
AGMKNasaf
0%4 goals0%
AGMKNasaf

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time29%
AGMKNasaf
0%BTTS in both halves7%
AGMKNasaf
21%Scored in both halves14%
AGMKNasaf

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
AGMKNasaf
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AGMKNasaf
80%BTTS - last 560%
AGMKNasaf

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
AGMKNasaf
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
AGMKNasaf
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AGMKNasaf

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
AGMKNasaf
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
AGMKNasaf
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
AGMKNasaf

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AGMK is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - AGMK · 1 pts / match - Nasaf

AGMK - half-time state
21% leading50% draw29% trailing
Nasaf - half-time state
7% leading79% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)1
AGMKNasaf
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.43
AGMKNasaf
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
AGMKNasaf
1.29Average goals (1st half)0.86
AGMKNasaf
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
AGMKNasaf
57%No goal before half-time64%
AGMKNasaf

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.64
AGMKNasaf
1.07Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
AGMKNasaf
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
AGMKNasaf
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.29
AGMKNasaf
43%Clean sheet after half-time57%
AGMKNasaf
43%No goal after half-time36%
AGMKNasaf

AGMK - second-half results

50% W21% R29% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding238%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nasaf - second-half results

43% W36% R21% P
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding514%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AGMK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.60
Goals scored / match0.41.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+7
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nasaf - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AGMK
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
5
31-45
6
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Nasaf
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AGMK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Nasaf

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).

Teams vs league

AGMKLigaNasaf
Average goals in match 2.932.64 2.14
Both teams scored 71%56% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%53% 29%
Clean sheets 14%25% 36%
Goal before half-time 64%68% 50%
Goal after half-time 86%77% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): AGMK 0 - 1 - 1 Nasaf. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FK AGMK
1 : 1
FC Nasaf Qarshi
FC Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1
FK AGMK

FAQ

When do AGMK and Nasaf play?

AGMK face Nasaf on 3 August 2026 in Uzbekistan Super League at OKMK Sport Majmuasi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between AGMK and Nasaf?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches AGMK won 0, Nasaf won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AGMK vs Nasaf?

AGMK score 1.64 goals per game on average and Nasaf 1.21. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of AGMK's matches and 57% of Nasaf's.

What form are AGMK and Nasaf in?

Over the last 5 games AGMK have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nasaf 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AGMK vs Nasaf?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AGMK vs Nasaf: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.