Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco: match statistics
Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Águila play Fuerte San Francisco in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match date is 1 April 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Águila: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Fuerte San Francisco: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Águila scores 1.28 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.86 and concedes 1.66. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Águila 47%, Fuerte San Francisco 50%. Over 2.5: Águila 45%, Fuerte San Francisco 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Águila has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.35. Águila: 9.7 shots per match, Fuerte San Francisco: 9.9.
Match halves
Águila: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.60. Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Águila: 61-75 (15 goals). Fuerte San Francisco: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Águila is the clear favorite: they have 20 wins this season versus Fuerte San Francisco’s 5 and have scored 57 goals compared to the visitors’ 33, indicating an offensive edge. At home Águila averages 1.67 goals per game with xG 1.49, while Fuerte away scores 0.95 goals per game with xG 1.27; additionally Fuerte fail to score in 47% of away matches, whereas Águila are held goalless in only 10% of home games. Defensively the hosts are superior — they concede 1.33 goals per home match vs 1.58 conceded by Fuerte on the road, and in the last 5 fixtures Águila have conceded 4 goals while the visitors have conceded 8. Higher possession (53% vs 44%), more shots on target (4.35 vs 3.67) and better shot conversion rate (17% vs 11%) confirm the hosts create better chances, therefore I back an Águila win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Águila | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Águila is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Águila · 0.8 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Águila is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Águila · 0.86 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Águila is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Águila · 1.66 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Águila scores in 75% of matches (40 of 53 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 23% (10 of 44 matches).
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 57% of matches (25 of 44 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 34% (18 of 53 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Águila
Over / Under — Fuerte San Francisco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Águila is 74% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Águila · 0.82 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Águila
Fuerte San Francisco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Águila | Liga | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Águila 1 - 2 - 0 Fuerte San Francisco. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Águila 1:1 Fuerte San Francisco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Águila and Fuerte San Francisco?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Águila won 1, Fuerte San Francisco won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Águila score 1.28 goals per game on average and Fuerte San Francisco 0.86. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Águila's matches and 50% of Fuerte San Francisco's.
What form are Águila and Fuerte San Francisco in?
Over the last 5 games Águila have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Fuerte San Francisco 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.