El Salvador - Salvadoran Primera DivisiónEstadio Juan Francisco BarrazaData current as of September 08, 2026

Águila vs INCA-Aruba: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Águila vs INCA-Aruba: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Águila plays INCA-Aruba in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026. Venue: Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza.

Recent form

Águila has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. INCA-Aruba has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Águila scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.63. INCA-Aruba scores 0.50 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 75% of Águila's games and 38% of INCA-Aruba's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 38%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Águila has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.24 per game. Águila takes 11.3 shots per game, while INCA-Aruba takes 8.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Águila leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. INCA-Aruba leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.38 after halftime.

When the teams score

Águila's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For INCA-Aruba, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Salvadoran Primera División games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
1.5Goals scored / game0.5
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
1.63Goals allowed / game2
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
53%Average possession41%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
4.63Shots on target / game4
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.25Shots per game8.63
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
4.63Shots on target4
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
13.3%Shot conversion5.8%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
53%Possession41%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
1.64xG for1.24
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
1.39xG against2.07
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

Shooting quality

Águila: Efficient finishingINCA-Aruba: Balanced
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
Accuracy (shots on target)41%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.13

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

INCA-Aruba is 25% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Águila · 1 pts / game - INCA-Aruba

Águila
LLLWD
Season result split
13% W50% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 at home
1-2-1
DLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
INCA-Aruba
LDLDW
Season result split
13% W25% R63% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-5
0.63 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
LLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 2.06BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Águila is 200% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Águila · 0.5 goals / game - INCA-Aruba

Águila is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.63 goals / game - Águila · 2 goals / game - INCA-Aruba

Águila scoring profile: very strong

Águila scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).

INCA-Aruba scoring profile: strong

INCA-Aruba scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 meczów), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 meczów).

12Goals scored (season)4
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
13Goals conceded (season)16
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
3.13Average goals per game2.5
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
9Goals scored (last 5)3
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal50%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
50%2 goals0%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
13%3 goals0%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
13%4 goals0%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal75%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
50%2 goals63%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
13%3 goals38%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
13%4 goals25%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time0%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
13%BTTS in both halves0%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
25%Scored in both halves0%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
80%BTTS - last 540%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

38%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Águila is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - Águila · 0.88 pts / game - INCA-Aruba

Águila - half-time state
13% leading88% draw0% trailing
INCA-Aruba - half-time state
13% leading50% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)0.88
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.13
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
0.88Average goals (1st half)0.63
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
63%Clean sheet before half-time63%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
63%No goal before half-time88%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per game (2nd half)0.38
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
2.25Average goals (2nd half)1.88
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
25%Clean sheet after half-time25%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba
38%No goal after half-time63%
ÁguilaINCA-Aruba

Águila - second-half results

13% W50% R38% P
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.9

Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

INCA-Aruba - second-half results

0% W38% R63% P
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Águila - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.61.4
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
INCA-Aruba - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game0.41.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Águila
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

INCA-Aruba
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.81
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Águila

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
154%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

INCA-Aruba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.83
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.74
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).

Teams vs league

ÁguilaLigaINCA-Aruba
Average goals per game 3.132.55 2.50
Both teams scored 75%47% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%45% 38%
Clean sheets 13%33% 25%
Goal before half-time 38%60% 50%
Goal after half-time 88%70% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Águila and INCA-Aruba play?

Águila face INCA-Aruba on September 12, 2026 in Salvadoran Primera División at Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Águila vs INCA-Aruba?

Águila score 1.50 goals per game on average and INCA-Aruba 0.50. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Águila's matches and 38% of INCA-Aruba's.

What form are Águila and INCA-Aruba in?

Over the last 5 games Águila have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and INCA-Aruba 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Águila vs INCA-Aruba?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.