Sweden - AllsvenskanStrawberry ArenaData current as of October 28, 2026

AIK vs Elfsborg: match statistics

AIK
2 : 2half-time 1:1
Elfsborg

AIK vs Elfsborg: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

AIK played against Elfsborg in Allsvenskan (Sweden). The game was played on October 27, 2026. Venue: Strawberry Arena. Final score: 2:2.

Recent form

AIK has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Elfsborg has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

AIK scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.72. Elfsborg scores 1.48 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 72% of AIK's games and 60% of Elfsborg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 48%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AIK has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.43 per game. AIK takes 13.9 shots per game, while Elfsborg takes 12.8.

First-half and second-half trends

AIK leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Elfsborg leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.92 after halftime.

When the teams score

AIK's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Elfsborg, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Allsvenskan games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Elfsborg hold the advantage in the standings, sitting 5th compared with AIK in 9th, and have collected 10 points in their last five matches, while the hosts have managed just 2. Both teams scored 10 goals over that period, but AIK conceded as many as 15, compared with just 5 for Elfsborg, which clearly favors the visitors. At home, AIK concede an average of 2.25 goals per match, while Elfsborg score 1.33 goals per away game and have failed to find the net in only 8% of their matches on the road. The hosts can still create chances, however: their home xG stands at 1.81, compared with the 1.39 xG that the visitors allow away from home, so an Elfsborg win is far from certain. Further caution is warranted by the fact that 42% of the visitors’ away matches have ended in a draw. Even so, their current form and stronger defense give them the best chance of claiming victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS landed in 75% of Elfsborg’s away matches and 50% of AIK’s home games, while both teams scored in each of AIK’s last five matches. AIK have averaged 1.75 goals at home and have not failed to score in any of those matches, increasing the likelihood of a home goal. Elfsborg have averaged 1.33 goals away, and AIK have conceded as many as 3.0 goals per game across their last five matches, so the visitors also have a clear chance of finding the net. However, AIK’s 50% home clean-sheet rate calls for caution: the case for BTTS - Yes is strong, but not overwhelming.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 92% of AIK’s home matches and 75% of Elfsborg’s away games. AIK average 1.75 goals at home, while Elfsborg concede 1.25 on the road; the hosts have also scored in every home match, boosting the chance of at least two goals overall. The visitors average 1.33 goals away, although AIK concede just 0.75 at home, so I rate their contribution more cautiously. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 80% of both teams’ last five matches, but across the full sample of AIK home games and Elfsborg away games, the figures were 42% and 58%, respectively. This discrepancy supports the safer Over 1.5 line rather than Over 2.5, with a projected 2.84 goals in the match.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: AIK were level at the break in 58% of their matches this season and in 4 of their last 5, while both teams average 0.58 goals before half-time. The case for a home win after the break is supported by their season-long second-half scoring record: AIK average 1.17 goals in the second half compared with Elfsborg’s 0.75, while Elfsborg concede 0.92 goals per match in that period. AIK won 67% of second halves, whereas Elfsborg won just 17%, making X/1 the strongest individual scenario. However, this pick carries considerable uncertainty: AIK have not won any of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game, while Elfsborg have recorded 3 wins. Therefore, X/2 and 2/2 remain viable scenarios, although AIK’s season-long advantage in win rate, 58% to 33%, means they should not be rated above X/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

50Possession (%)50
AIKElfsborg
13Shots18
AIKElfsborg
4Shots on target5
AIKElfsborg
1.36xG1.83
AIKElfsborg
2Corners10
AIKElfsborg
34Dangerous attacks47
AIKElfsborg
15Fouls5
AIKElfsborg
2Cards1
AIKElfsborg

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.6Goals scored / game1.48
AIKElfsborg
1.72Goals allowed / game0.96
AIKElfsborg
54%Average possession48%
AIKElfsborg
4.84Shots on target / game4.2
AIKElfsborg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.92Shots per game12.76
AIKElfsborg
4.84Shots on target4.2
AIKElfsborg
11.5%Shot conversion11.6%
AIKElfsborg
54%Possession48%
AIKElfsborg
1.53xG for1.43
AIKElfsborg
1.74xG against1.41
AIKElfsborg

Shooting quality

AIK: BalancedElfsborg: Balanced
AIKElfsborg
Accuracy (shots on target)35%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Elfsborg is 120% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - AIK · 2.2 pts / game - Elfsborg

AIK
DLLDW
Season result split
40% W28% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-8
1.48 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Elfsborg
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
44% W36% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-5
1.68 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AIK is 8% better for: goals scored per game.

1.6 goals / game - AIK · 1.48 goals / game - Elfsborg

Elfsborg is 79% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.72 goals / game - AIK · 0.96 goals / game - Elfsborg

AIK scoring profile: strong

AIK scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 games), while Elfsborg keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 games).

Elfsborg scoring profile: very strong

Elfsborg scores in 92% of games (23 of 25 games), while AIK keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 games).

40Goals scored (season)37
AIKElfsborg
43Goals conceded (season)24
AIKElfsborg
3.32Average goals per game2.44
AIKElfsborg
11Goals scored (last 5)9
AIKElfsborg
12Goals conceded (last 5)3
AIKElfsborg

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal92%
AIKElfsborg
52%2 goals44%
AIKElfsborg
16%3 goals8%
AIKElfsborg
8%4 goals4%
AIKElfsborg

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal64%
AIKElfsborg
44%2 goals28%
AIKElfsborg
24%3 goals4%
AIKElfsborg
12%4 goals0%
AIKElfsborg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time16%
AIKElfsborg
12%BTTS in both halves0%
AIKElfsborg
24%Scored in both halves28%
AIKElfsborg

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
AIKElfsborg
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
AIKElfsborg
100%BTTS - last 540%
AIKElfsborg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
AIKElfsborg
52%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
AIKElfsborg
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
AIKElfsborg

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
AIKElfsborg
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
AIKElfsborg
28%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
AIKElfsborg

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Elfsborg is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / game - AIK · 1.6 pts / game - Elfsborg

AIK - half-time state
20% leading56% draw24% trailing
Elfsborg - half-time state
36% leading52% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per game (1st half)1.6
AIKElfsborg
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.56
AIKElfsborg
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
AIKElfsborg
1.44Average goals (1st half)0.84
AIKElfsborg
48%Clean sheet before half-time72%
AIKElfsborg
44%No goal before half-time52%
AIKElfsborg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)1.52
AIKElfsborg
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
AIKElfsborg
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
AIKElfsborg
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.6
AIKElfsborg
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
AIKElfsborg
52%No goal after half-time28%
AIKElfsborg

AIK - second-half results

24% W48% D28% L
29
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Elfsborg - second-half results

40% W32% D28% L
40
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AIK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.61.8
Average goals per game1.43.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Elfsborg - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.60
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

AIK
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
7
7
16-30
7
6
31-45
6
6
46-60
6
9
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Elfsborg
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
1
31-45
4
4
46-60
7
7
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

AIK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Elfsborg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Allsvenskan).

Teams vs league

AIKLigaElfsborg
Average goals per game▲ 3.322.92▼ 2.44
Both teams scored▲ 72%52%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 68%54%▼ 48%
Clean sheets▼ 16%26%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time• 68%69%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▼ 68%80%▲ 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ElfsborgYellow cardAri Sigurpálsson
  2. AIKGoalJohan HoveAssist: Axel Kouame
  3. AIKSubstitutionOn: Mads Døhr ThychosenOff: Lukas Bergquist
  4. AIKSubstitutionOn: Taha AyariOff: Lucas Assadi
  5. AIKYellow cardAxel Kouame
  6. AIKYellow cardDiogo Tomas
  7. AIKSubstitutionOn: Fredrik NissenOff: Wilmer Olofsson
  8. ElfsborgSubstitutionOn: Jonathan EsengaOff: Niklas Hult

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from AIK's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Elfsborg. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Elfsborg
1 : 1
AIK
AIK
1 : 2
Elfsborg
Elfsborg
6 : 1
AIK

FAQ

What was the result of AIK vs Elfsborg?

The Allsvenskan match finished AIK 2:2 Elfsborg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between AIK and Elfsborg?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches AIK won 0, Elfsborg won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AIK vs Elfsborg?

AIK score 1.60 goals per game on average and Elfsborg 1.48. The Allsvenskan average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 72% of AIK's matches and 60% of Elfsborg's.

What form are AIK and Elfsborg in?

Over the last 5 games AIK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Elfsborg 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AIK vs Elfsborg?

The statistical background for AIK vs Elfsborg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.