Ajax vs Twente: match statistics
Ajax vs Twente: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ajax played against Twente in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Ajax has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Twente has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ajax scores 1.89 goals per game and allows 1.25. Twente scores 1.68 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Ajax's games and 61% of Twente's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 43%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Twente has the higher season xG average, 1.99 to 1.73 per game. Ajax takes 14.8 shots per game, while Twente takes 17.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Ajax leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Twente leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ajax's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). For Twente, it is minutes 46-60 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. Ajax wins 64% of home matches, while Twente records 36% wins away, giving a clear home advantage. Ajax averages 2.0 goals per home game and concedes 0.79, with average xG 1.96 and 7.07 shots on target per match; Twente away scores 1.79 goals per game, concedes 1.14 and has xG 1.89 with 6.21 shots on target. Additionally Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 43% of home matches versus only 7% for Twente on the road, which offsets the visitors’ better form (Twente 4 wins in last 5, 10 goals and an average 2.4 points per match; Ajax 1 win, 8 goals and 1.2 points). As a result I see an edge for Ajax, but expect an open game with goals from both sides.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS probability at 65% (Yes) vs 35% (No), because the data favors both teams scoring. Twente shows a strong away BTTS signal: seasonal away BTTS rate 79% and only 7% clean sheets away with an average 1.79 goals scored on the road, indicating Twente regularly scores. Ajax at home has a lower BTTS rate of 43% and keeps a clean sheet in 43% of matches, but their home xG is 2.09 versus Twente’s away xG of 1.4, so the hosts should create chances. In the last 5 matches Twente averages 2.0 goals scored, while Ajax concedes 1.2 goals on average in their last 5, which materially increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Additionally, the league average BTTS is 64% and the xG comparison (2.09 vs 1.89) plus similar shots on target (6.43 vs 6.21) confirm that the strongest signal is 'BTTS - Yes' (Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive metrics point to a goals game: Ajax has xG 2.09, while Twente’s xG against is 1.40, which together increases the chance of opportunities; therefore I project Ajax to score about 1.81 goals. Twente with xG 1.89 and facing a defensively weaker Ajax (xG against 0.96) is expected to score ~1.52 goals, giving a combined expected total of 3.33 goals. Seasonal stats further support the over: Ajax has had 79% of matches over 1.5, Twente 86%, and both teams record high percentages of BTTS matches (43% and 79%) with Twente keeping only 7% clean sheets. Although season-long Over 2.5 is only 43% for both sides, the last 5 matches show Over 2.5 in 60% of cases and the league averages 3.2 goals per game, so the 2.5 line is also a strong candidate. The strongest, most reliable signal is however the over 1.5 (79%/86% seasonally and a 3.33 goal projection), therefore I recommend betting on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At Half-Time I expect a draw: both teams have an identical first-half goals average (Ajax 0.57 vs Twente 0.57) and Ajax were level at the break in 75% of their last 5 matches (last5_drawingAtHT_overall_home 75.0). The match is more likely to be decided after the break – second-half goals averages are 1.64 for Ajax and 2.00 for Twente (AVG_2hg_home 1.64, AVG_2hg_away 2.0), and 93% of the away team’s matches have a goal after the break (over05_2hg_percentage_away 93.0). Twente are in very good form: 80% wins in their last 5 matches (last5_winPercentage_overall_away 80.0) and 80% won second halves in those matches (last5_wins_2hg_percentage_overall_away 80.0), indicating a strong ability to produce a turnaround after half-time. Although Ajax have higher xG (2.09 vs 1.89) and a better home clean sheet percentage (43% vs 7%), Twente’s high BTTS rate (79%) and second-half statistics favor the visitors. Consequently I assign the highest probability to the X/2 scenario (draw at Half-Time, Twente win) at 36%, with relatively lower chances for 1/1 (15%) and X/X (11%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Twente is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Ajax · 2.4 pts / game - Twente
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.89 goals / game - Ajax · 1.68 goals / game - Twente
Twente is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Ajax · 1.07 goals / game - Twente
Ajax scores in 93% of games (26 of 28 meczów), while Twente keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
Twente scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - Twente
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / game - Ajax · 1.46 pts / game - Twente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 43%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Twente - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ajax
Twente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | Twente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.14 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 62% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 19% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 82% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ajax's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Twente. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax vs Twente?
The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 1:2 Twente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Twente?
Ajax score 1.89 goals per game on average and Twente 1.68. The Eredivisie average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Ajax's matches and 61% of Twente's.
What form are Ajax and Twente in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Twente 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Twente?
The statistical background for Ajax vs Twente — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.