Ajax vs Utrecht: match statistics
Ajax vs Utrecht: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ajax play Utrecht in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 12:15. Venue: Kras Stadion. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ajax: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Utrecht: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ajax scores 1.81 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Utrecht scores 1.64 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ajax 67%, Utrecht 61%. Over 2.5: Ajax 56%, Utrecht 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Ajax has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.65. Ajax: 14.9 shots per match, Utrecht: 15.3.
Match halves
Ajax: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.78. Utrecht: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ajax: 31-45+ (15 goals). Utrecht: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1). xG analysis indicates an advantage for Ajax: at home they average xG 1.84, while Utrecht concedes xG 1.64 away, which averaged gives an estimated 1.74 expected goals for Ajax; meanwhile Utrecht’s away attack posts xG 1.48 and Ajax’s home defense registers 1.33, yielding about 1.41 expected goals for the visitors. In practice Ajax averages 15.83 shots per home match with 6.44 on target and scores 1.89 goals, whereas Utrecht away averages 13.24 shots (5.18 on target) and 1.41 goals per game, so the hosts create better chances. Defensively Ajax concedes only 0.94 goals per home game and has 39% clean sheets, while Utrecht concedes 1.71 goals away and has 18% clean sheets; additionally Ajax fails to score in only 6% of matches versus Utrecht’s 18%. Although Utrecht is in better recent form (4 wins in 5 and 2.4 pts per match versus Ajax’s 2 wins and 1.6 pts), based on xG and goal distribution I estimate a 45% probability for Ajax, 23% for a draw and 32% for Utrecht.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Utrecht is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ajax · 2.6 pts / match - Utrecht
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.81 goals / match - Ajax · 1.64 goals / match - Utrecht
Ajax is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Ajax · 1.25 goals / match - Utrecht
Ajax scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Utrecht keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
Utrecht scores in 83% of matches (30 of 36 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ajax
Over / Under — Utrecht
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / match - Ajax · 1.56 pts / match - Utrecht
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Utrecht - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ajax
Utrecht
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.97 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 20% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 84% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ajax 0 - 0 - 2 Utrecht. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax vs Utrecht?
The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 1:1 Utrecht. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Utrecht?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0, Utrecht won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Utrecht?
Ajax score 1.81 goals per game on average and Utrecht 1.64. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ajax's matches and 61% of Utrecht's.
What form are Ajax and Utrecht in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Utrecht 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Utrecht?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.