Ajax vs Willem II: match statistics
Ajax vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ajax played against Willem II in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on September 15, 2026. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
Ajax has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Willem II has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ajax scores 2.80 goals per game and allows 1.20. Willem II scores 1.00 and allows 2.80. Games in this league average 3.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Ajax's games and 80% of Willem II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 80%, compared with league averages of 74% for BTTS and 79% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ajax has the higher season xG average, 2.26 to 1.17 per game. Ajax takes 21.4 shots per game, while Willem II takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ajax leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 1.80 goals per game after halftime. Willem II leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ajax's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Willem II, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.91 goals. Both teams score in 74% of games, and 79% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax are in clearly better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last 5 matches and scored 16 goals, while Willem II have earned just 4 points and scored only 6 goals. The hosts create significantly more chances at home, averaging 21 shots and 5 shots on target per match, with an average xG of 2.06 compared with the visitors’ 1.02 away from home. Willem II have lost every away match so far, conceding an average of 4 goals, with an xG against of 2.47 and not a single clean sheet. Ajax also have defensive issues, conceding an average of 2.5 goals at home and failing to keep a clean sheet, but the visitors’ weak defense should allow them to capitalise on their possession advantage, which stands at 54% versus 31%. An Ajax win in a high-chance match is the most likely outcome, although Willem II scoring remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is strong: the season BTTS rate stands at 67% for Ajax and as high as 100% for Willem II, while both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches. Neither side has kept a clean sheet yet, with Ajax conceding an average of 3.0 goals and Willem II 4.0 goals per match. Ajax’s recent attacking form is very strong, averaging 3.2 goals with an xG of 2.26, while Willem II scores 1.2 goals per game and should be able to exploit the hosts’ defense, which has allowed 2.0 goals per match across its last five appearances. Willem II generates an average xG of 1.19, while Ajax allows opponents an xG of 1.40, supporting a realistic chance of the visitors scoring despite their weaker finishing. Additionally, the league has a BTTS rate of 77% and averages 4.02 goals per match, making a scenario in which both sides score at least once more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly favors goals: in their last 5 matches, Ajax averaged 3.2 goals, while Willem II conceded as many as 2.8. During this period, Ajax created chances worth 2.26 xG per match, whereas the visitors’ defense allowed opponents 2.15 xG. Both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 100% of their last five matches, while matches involving both sides saw both teams score in 80% of those games. In addition, neither team has kept a clean sheet so far, while the league-wide average stands at a very high 4.02 goals per match. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as even with a more conservative conversion rate, the attacking data and defensive weaknesses indicate a very low risk of the match ending with no more than one goal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Ajax leading at the break and winning the match, as the hosts have won 60% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for Willem II. Ajax held the lead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 appearances and averaged 1.4 goals in the first half, while the visitors scored only 0.6 goals during that period. The hosts’ advantage should persist after the interval: Ajax average 1.8 goals in the second half, while Willem II concede as many as 1.8 goals in that period. The chance-quality indicators also favor Ajax, whose average xG stands at 1.31 versus 1.02 for the visitors, while Willem II’s weaker defense allows an average of 2.47 xG. Risk remains elevated due to Ajax’s defense, which concedes an average of 3.0 goals per match this season, so scenarios involving a visitor turnaround retain a noticeable degree of probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 21% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ajax is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Ajax · 0.4 pts / game - Willem II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 180% better for: goals scored per game.
2.8 goals / game - Ajax · 1 goals / game - Willem II
Ajax is 133% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Ajax · 2.8 goals / game - Willem II
Ajax scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 games), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).
Willem II scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - Willem II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 400% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Ajax · 0.4 pts / game - Willem II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Willem II - second-half results
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ajax
Willem II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 4.00 | 3.91 | ▼ 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 80% | 79% | • 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 14% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 80% | 79% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 94% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax vs Willem II?
The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 5:1 Willem II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Willem II?
Ajax score 2.80 goals per game on average and Willem II 1.00. The Eredivisie average is 3.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 79% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Ajax's matches and 80% of Willem II's.
What form are Ajax and Willem II in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Willem II 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Willem II?
The statistical background for Ajax vs Willem II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.