Ajka vs Budafoki MTE: match statistics
The match between Ajka and Budafoki MTE promises to be a closely contested encounter between two teams from the bottom half of the table. Ajka holds a slight advantage as the home side with a 33% win rate at home, yet recent form (2 wins in 5 matches) is identical for both teams (1.2 points per game). Budafoki MTE displays poor away form (75% losses on the road, 63% of matches without scoring a goal), but their last 5 outings show improvement with 10 goals scored and three draws. Both teams have similar xG figures (1.34 for Ajka and 1.34 for Budafoki), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering the weak defense of both sides (Ajka concedes an average of 1.33 goals at home, Budafoki 2.25 away) and the goal difference of -5 for the hosts and -11 for the visitors, the most likely scenario appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team.
Ajka vs Budafoki MTE: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ajka played against Budafoki MTE in NB II (Hungary). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Ajka has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Budafoki MTE has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Ajka scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.24. Budafoki MTE scores 1.00 and allows 1.76. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Ajka's games and 41% of Budafoki MTE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 47%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Budafoki MTE has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.30 per game. Ajka takes 9.3 shots per game, while Budafoki MTE takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Ajka leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.41 goals per game after halftime. Budafoki MTE leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ajka's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Budafoki MTE, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB II games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match between Ajka and Budafoki MTE promises to be a closely contested encounter between two teams from the bottom half of the table. Ajka holds a slight advantage as the home side with a 33% win rate at home, yet recent form (2 wins in 5 matches) is identical for both teams (1.2 points per game). Budafoki MTE displays poor away form (75% losses on the road, 63% of matches without scoring a goal), but their last 5 outings show improvement with 10 goals scored and three draws. Both teams have similar xG figures (1.34 for Ajka and 1.34 for Budafoki), suggesting comparable offensive potential. Considering the weak defense of both sides (Ajka concedes an average of 1.33 goals at home, Budafoki 2.25 away) and the goal difference of -5 for the hosts and -11 for the visitors, the most likely scenario appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ajka | Budafoki MTE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ajka is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Ajka · 1.2 pts / game - Budafoki MTE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Budafoki MTE is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - Ajka · 1 goals / game - Budafoki MTE
Ajka is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - Ajka · 1.76 goals / game - Budafoki MTE
Ajka scores in 59% of games (10 of 17 meczów), while Budafoki MTE keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).
Budafoki MTE scores in 53% of games (9 of 17 meczów), while Ajka keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajka
Over / Under - Budafoki MTE
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajka is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Ajka · 0.71 pts / game - Budafoki MTE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajka - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Budafoki MTE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ajka
Budafoki MTE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Ajka | Liga | Budafoki MTE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.94 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 48% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 44% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ajka's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Budafoki MTE. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?
The NB II match finished Ajka 0:1 Budafoki MTE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?
Ajka score 0.71 goals per game on average and Budafoki MTE 1.00. The NB II average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Ajka's matches and 41% of Budafoki MTE's.
What form are Ajka and Budafoki MTE in?
Over the last 5 games Ajka have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Budafoki MTE 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?
The statistical background for Ajka vs Budafoki MTE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.