Aktobe vs Astana: match statistics
Aktobe vs Astana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aktobe play Astana in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 21 June 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Ortalıq Stadion. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Aktobe: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Astana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aktobe scores 1.44 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Astana scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aktobe 44%, Astana 47%. Over 2.5: Aktobe 39%, Astana 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Astana has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.45. Aktobe: 12.9 shots per match, Astana: 15.5.
Match halves
Aktobe: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.94. Astana: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Aktobe: 46-60 (6 goals). Astana: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I back the home side ('1') because Aktobe score an average of 1.63 goals and concede only 0.75 per home match, while Astana average just 0.5 goals scored and concede 1.5 on the road. The hosts’ offensive activity is clearly superior: Aktobe average 16.5 shots and 6 on target per home game with a 10% conversion rate and xG 1.77, whereas Astana register 14.33 shots, 4.33 on target, 3% conversion and xG 1.56 away. Defensively the hosts also dominate: 63% clean sheets at home and +7 goal difference in home matches versus only 17% clean sheets and -6 goal difference for Astana away. However, the visitors are in better form over the last 5 matches — 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 8 goals scored and an average of 2.0 points per game — so an upset is possible. Taking into account Aktobe’s advantage in conversion (10% vs 3%), shots on target (6 vs 4.33) and defensive stability (63% vs 17%), I assess the probabilities as: home win 65%, draw 18%, Astana win 17%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aktobe | Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Astana is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Aktobe · 2 pts / match - Astana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Astana scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aktobe
Over / Under — Astana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Aktobe · 1.59 pts / match - Astana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aktobe
Astana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aktobe | Liga | Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aktobe 0 - 0 - 3 Astana. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aktobe vs Astana?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Aktobe 2:0 Astana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aktobe and Astana?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 0, Astana won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aktobe vs Astana?
Aktobe score 1.44 goals per game on average and Astana 1.47. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Aktobe's matches and 47% of Astana's.
What form are Aktobe and Astana in?
Over the last 5 games Aktobe have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Astana 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aktobe vs Astana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aktobe vs Astana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.