Aktobe vs FC Caspiy: match statistics
Aktobe vs FC Caspiy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aktobe play FC Caspiy in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Aktobe: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. FC Caspiy: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aktobe scores 1.44 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. FC Caspiy scores 0.89 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aktobe 44%, FC Caspiy 44%. Over 2.5: Aktobe 39%, FC Caspiy 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Aktobe has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.01. Aktobe: 12.9 shots per match, FC Caspiy: 9.2.
Match halves
Aktobe: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.94. FC Caspiy: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Aktobe: 46-60 (6 goals). FC Caspiy: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Aktobe holds a clear offensive edge: at home they average 14 shots and 6 on target, scoring 2.5 goals per game with an 18% conversion rate, while FC Caspiy on the road registers 9 shots (3.5 on target) and only 0.5 goals per game with a 6% conversion. The hosts also dominate possession (58% vs 48%) and xG — 1.61 versus 1.11 — and have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches compared to Caspiy’s 6. Aktobe’s home defense is, however, vulnerable: they concede 2.5 goals on average and have 0% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 1.0 goal away and keep a clean sheet in 50% of away games; Aktobe’s home fixtures also feature a high goals-per-game average (5.0 vs 1.5 in Caspiy’s away matches). In form, Aktobe have 1.4 points per game in the last 5 matches, while Caspiy have only 0.8, which further favors the hosts. I therefore predict an Aktobe win, while accounting for the weaker defence — I estimate probabilities as 65% home win, 20% draw and 15% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aktobe | FC Caspiy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Caspiy is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Aktobe · 2 pts / match - FC Caspiy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Aktobe · 0.89 goals / match - FC Caspiy
Aktobe is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Aktobe · 1.28 goals / match - FC Caspiy
Aktobe scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while FC Caspiy keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
FC Caspiy scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aktobe
Over / Under — FC Caspiy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Aktobe · 0.89 pts / match - FC Caspiy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Caspiy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aktobe
FC Caspiy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aktobe | Liga | FC Caspiy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 2.31 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Aktobe vs FC Caspiy?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Aktobe 1:0 FC Caspiy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aktobe vs FC Caspiy?
Aktobe score 1.44 goals per game on average and FC Caspiy 0.89. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Aktobe's matches and 44% of FC Caspiy's.
What form are Aktobe and FC Caspiy in?
Over the last 5 games Aktobe have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and FC Caspiy 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aktobe vs FC Caspiy?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.