Aktobe vs Irtysh: match statistics
Aktobe vs Irtysh: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aktobe played against Irtysh in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Aktobe has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Irtysh has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Aktobe scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.33. Irtysh scores 1.33 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Aktobe's games and 83% of Irtysh's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aktobe has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.31 per game. Aktobe takes 13.5 shots per game, while Irtysh takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Aktobe leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Irtysh leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aktobe's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Irtysh, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.14 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aktobe shows strong home metrics: at home they average 2.00 goals per game, have a 67% win rate, concede 1.67 goals on average and post xG 1.85 versus opponent xG 1.29. Irtysh have yet to win away (0% away wins), record 67% draws on the road, score 1.67 and concede 2.00 with xG 1.33 and xG against 1.91. Aktobe averages 17 shots and 6.67 on target at home versus Irtysh’s 10.33 shots and 5.33 on target away, and also maintain higher possession (57% vs 50%), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Both teams earn 1.4 points in their last 5 matches, and neither side had a match without scoring in the analyzed period (0% such games), so I expect goals from both teams. Considering Aktobe’s higher quality of chances (xG 1.85 vs 1.33) and Irtysh’s lack of away wins, I tip a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Irtysh has a season-long BTTS rate of 100%, while Aktobe sits at 67%, a strong indicator that both teams regularly score and concede. In the last 5 matches Irtysh registered BTTS in 60% of games, Aktobe in 40%, with average goals scored of 1.6 and 1.4 respectively and both conceding 1.2 goals per game over that period. xG and shot metrics confirm open play: xG for Irtysh is 1.33 versus 1.28 for Aktobe, while xG against is 1.91 for Irtysh and 1.02 for Aktobe; Irtysh averages 5.33 shots on target versus 3.67 and has a conversion rate of 16% compared to 10%. This season Aktobe have scored 7 and conceded 8, Irtysh have scored 8 and conceded 9, and Irtysh have 0% clean sheets this season, which further increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering these figures and the fact that Irtysh matches are 100% over 2.5 goals versus a league average of 2.17, I rate BTTS - Yes at 85% and No Goal at 15%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combined xG and seasonal statistics point to a higher-than-average scoring game: Aktobe has xG_for 1.28 while Irtysh concedes xG_against 1.91, yielding an estimated 1.60 goals for the home side. For the visitors, the combination of xG_for 1.33 and the home xG_against 1.02 gives an estimated 1.18 goals, with total projected goals of 2.78 (1.60+1.18). Irtysh concedes on average 2.0 goals per match and has 100% of its games over 2.5 goals this season, whereas Aktobe has 33% of such matches, which increases the scoring likelihood. Additionally, Irtysh records 5.33 SOT with 16% conversion, Aktobe 3.67 SOT with 10% conversion, and both teams have high BTTS rates (67% and 100%), so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈77%), with a moderate probability for Over 2.5 (≈53%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis supports Aktobe having the lead at the break: in the last 5 matches they led at half-time in 60% of cases (3 of 5) and score an average of 1.0 first-half goals versus 0.25 for Irtysh. Additionally, Aktobe produces 1.28 xG per match, while Irtysh concedes opponents’ xG of 1.91 and loses an average of 2.0 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of goals for the hosts. Irtysh frequently draws (67% draws this season) and all their matches this season have seen both teams score (BTTS 100%), which raises the risk of stalemates, but Aktobe’s season average points of 1.33 versus 0.67 for Irtysh and an average half-time points of 2.0 for Aktobe over the last 5 fixtures suggest the hosts will maintain the advantage. Therefore, the most likely scenario based on available data is Aktobe leading at half-time and the hosts winning (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aktobe | Irtysh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Irtysh is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Aktobe · 1 pts / game - Irtysh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irtysh is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - Aktobe · 1.33 goals / game - Irtysh
Aktobe is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Aktobe · 1.5 goals / game - Irtysh
Aktobe scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Irtysh keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
Irtysh scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aktobe
Over / Under - Irtysh
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / game - Aktobe · 1.17 pts / game - Irtysh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Irtysh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aktobe
Irtysh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aktobe | Liga | Irtysh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.14 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Aktobe vs Irtysh?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Aktobe 1:0 Irtysh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aktobe vs Irtysh?
Aktobe score 1.17 goals per game on average and Irtysh 1.33. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Aktobe's matches and 83% of Irtysh's.
What form are Aktobe and Irtysh in?
Over the last 5 games Aktobe have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Irtysh 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aktobe vs Irtysh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.