Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueData current as of October 21, 2026

Aktobe vs Kairat: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Aktobe vs Kairat: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Aktobe plays Kairat in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026.

Recent form

Aktobe has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Kairat has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Aktobe scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.25. Kairat scores 2.04 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 61% of Aktobe's games and 46% of Kairat's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Kairat has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.51 per game. Aktobe takes 13.3 shots per game, while Kairat takes 15.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Aktobe leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Kairat leads at halftime in 46% and scores 0.96 after halftime.

When the teams score

Aktobe's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Kairat, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kazakhstan Premier League games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.72)
(3.52)
(1.96)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.5Goals scored / game2.04
AktobeKairat
1.25Goals allowed / game0.71
AktobeKairat
55%Average possession55%
AktobeKairat
4.82Shots on target / game6.39
AktobeKairat

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.25Shots per game15.68
AktobeKairat
4.82Shots on target6.39
AktobeKairat
11.3%Shot conversion13%
AktobeKairat
55%Possession55%
AktobeKairat
1.51xG for1.76
AktobeKairat
1.39xG against1.03
AktobeKairat

Shooting quality

Aktobe: BalancedKairat: Dominant
AktobeKairat
Accuracy (shots on target)36%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Aktobe is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Aktobe · 1.8 pts / game - Kairat

Aktobe
WWDWL
Season result split
46% W21% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-9
1.61 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Kairat
WLLWW
Season result split
68% W21% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
19-6-3
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
9-3-2
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kairat is 36% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Aktobe · 2.04 goals / game - Kairat

Kairat is 76% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.25 goals / game - Aktobe · 0.71 goals / game - Kairat

Aktobe scoring profile: strong

Aktobe scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 games), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 games).

Kairat scoring profile: very strong

Kairat scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 games), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 games).

42Goals scored (season)57
AktobeKairat
35Goals conceded (season)20
AktobeKairat
2.75Average goals per game2.75
AktobeKairat
9Goals scored (last 5)10
AktobeKairat
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
AktobeKairat

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal89%
AktobeKairat
46%2 goals57%
AktobeKairat
14%3 goals36%
AktobeKairat
7%4 goals14%
AktobeKairat

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal50%
AktobeKairat
32%2 goals14%
AktobeKairat
14%3 goals4%
AktobeKairat
4%4 goals4%
AktobeKairat

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
AktobeKairat
7%BTTS in both halves0%
AktobeKairat
32%Scored in both halves32%
AktobeKairat

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
AktobeKairat
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
AktobeKairat
80%BTTS - last 520%
AktobeKairat

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
AktobeKairat
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
AktobeKairat
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
AktobeKairat

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
AktobeKairat
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
AktobeKairat
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
AktobeKairat

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kairat is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.57 pts / game - Aktobe · 1.82 pts / game - Kairat

Aktobe - half-time state
39% leading39% draw21% trailing
Kairat - half-time state
46% leading43% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.57Points per game (1st half)1.82
AktobeKairat
0.61Goals scored (1st half)1.07
AktobeKairat
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.32
AktobeKairat
1Average goals (1st half)1.39
AktobeKairat
64%Clean sheet before half-time75%
AktobeKairat
46%No goal before half-time36%
AktobeKairat

After half-time (2nd half)

1.46Points per game (2nd half)1.82
AktobeKairat
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
AktobeKairat
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
AktobeKairat
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.36
AktobeKairat
46%Clean sheet after half-time64%
AktobeKairat
39%No goal after half-time43%
AktobeKairat

Aktobe - second-half results

36% W39% D25% L
44
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kairat - second-half results

50% W32% D18% L
51
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+21
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Aktobe - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.00
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Kairat - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Aktobe
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
8
1
16-30
7
5
31-45
7
7
46-60
8
3
61-75
10
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Kairat
ScoredConceded
12
3
0-15
7
4
16-30
11
2
31-45
5
0
46-60
8
5
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Aktobe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Kairat

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
189%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

AktobeLigaKairat
Average goals per game▲ 2.752.54▲ 2.75
Both teams scored▲ 61%55%▼ 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 54%50%▲ 57%
Clean sheets• 25%26%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%68%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%76%• 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.08
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Aktobe's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Kairat. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Kairat
1 : 0
Aktobe
FK Kairat Almaty
1 : 0
FK Aktobe
FK Aktobe
1 : 2
FK Kairat Almaty

FAQ

When do Aktobe and Kairat play?

Aktobe face Kairat on October 25, 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aktobe and Kairat?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 0, Kairat won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aktobe vs Kairat?

Aktobe score 1.50 goals per game on average and Kairat 2.04. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Aktobe's matches and 46% of Kairat's.

What form are Aktobe and Kairat in?

Over the last 5 games Aktobe have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kairat 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aktobe vs Kairat?

The statistical background for Aktobe vs Kairat — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.