Aktobe vs Zhetysu: match statistics
Aktobe vs Zhetysu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aktobe play Zhetysu in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 5 July 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Ortalıq Stadion. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Aktobe: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Zhetysu: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aktobe scores 1.29 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Zhetysu scores 1.17 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aktobe 41%, Zhetysu 56%. Over 2.5: Aktobe 35%, Zhetysu 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Aktobe has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.14. Aktobe: 12.9 shots per match, Zhetysu: 9.6.
Match halves
Aktobe: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88. Zhetysu: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Aktobe: 61-75 (6 goals). Zhetysu: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Aktobe holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they have won 67% of home matches this season, scoring on average 1.67 goals and conceding just 0.67 per game. The hosts generate more high-quality chances: home xG for Aktobe is 1.75 with 6.44 shots on target and 15.89 shots per match, whereas Zhetysu away posts xG 1.30, 4.63 shots on target and 10.75 shots per match. The visitors are weaker defensively — they concede 2.00 goals on average away and have only 13% clean sheets, while the hosts have 67% clean sheets; this suggests Aktobe has a realistic chance to maintain the advantage. Form and recent results also favor the hosts: in the last 5 matches Aktobe collected 8 points (1.6 points per match), scoring 6 and conceding 3, while Zhetysu has 6 points (1.2 points per match), scoring 8 and conceding 8, indicating greater instability from the visitors. Considering Aktobe’s 67% home win rate versus Zhetysu’s 25% away win rate and the advantage in xG and defense, I project a home win probability of 62%, draw 20% and away win 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aktobe | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aktobe is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Aktobe · 0.8 pts / match - Zhetysu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aktobe is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Aktobe · 1.17 goals / match - Zhetysu
Aktobe is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Aktobe · 1.5 goals / match - Zhetysu
Aktobe scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Zhetysu keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Zhetysu scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Aktobe
Over / Under — Zhetysu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zhetysu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aktobe
Zhetysu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aktobe | Liga | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.35 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 30% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Aktobe 1 - 0 - 2 Zhetysu. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aktobe vs Zhetysu?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Aktobe 2:1 Zhetysu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aktobe and Zhetysu?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 1, Zhetysu won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aktobe vs Zhetysu?
Aktobe score 1.29 goals per game on average and Zhetysu 1.17. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Aktobe's matches and 56% of Zhetysu's.
What form are Aktobe and Zhetysu in?
Over the last 5 games Aktobe have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Zhetysu 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aktobe vs Zhetysu?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.