Lebanon - Lebanese Premier LeagueSour StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Al Ahed vs Al Hikma: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Al Ahed vs Al Hikma: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Ahed play Al Hikma in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 16 June 2026 at 14:30. Venue: Sour Stadium.

Current form

Al Ahed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Hikma: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Ahed scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Al Hikma scores 1.30 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Ahed 38%, Al Hikma 43%. Over 2.5: Al Ahed 50%, Al Hikma 52%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.05. Al Ahed: 9.4 shots per match, Al Hikma: 5.8.

Match halves

Al Ahed: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85. Al Hikma: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Al Ahed: 61-75 (9 goals). Al Hikma: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.34)
(3.11)
(2.68)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.54Goals scored / match1.3
Al AhedAl Hikma
1.23Goals conceded / match1.3
Al AhedAl Hikma
52%Average possession45%
Al AhedAl Hikma
4.42Shots on target / match3.3
Al AhedAl Hikma

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.42Shots per match5.78
Al AhedAl Hikma
4.42Shots on target3.3
Al AhedAl Hikma
16.3%Shot conversion22.6%
Al AhedAl Hikma
52%Possession45%
Al AhedAl Hikma
1.32xG for1.05
Al AhedAl Hikma
1.07xG against0.99
Al AhedAl Hikma

Shooting quality

Al Ahed: Efficient finishingAl Hikma: Counter-attacking
Al AhedAl Hikma
Accuracy (shots on target)47%57%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Ahed
WWDLL
Season result split
54% W8% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-10
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Al Hikma
LDWWL
Season result split
39% W13% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-11
1.30 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 0.83BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ahed is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.54 goals / match - Al Ahed · 1.3 goals / match - Al Hikma

Al Ahed is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.23 goals / match - Al Ahed · 1.3 goals / match - Al Hikma

Al Ahed scoring profile: strong

Al Ahed scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Al Hikma keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

Al Hikma scoring profile: strong

Al Hikma scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).

40Goals scored (season)30
Al AhedAl Hikma
32Goals conceded (season)30
Al AhedAl Hikma
2.77Average goals in match2.61
Al AhedAl Hikma
11Goals scored (last 5)11
Al AhedAl Hikma
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
Al AhedAl Hikma

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal70%
Al AhedAl Hikma
42%2 goals35%
Al AhedAl Hikma
27%3 goals17%
Al AhedAl Hikma
12%4 goals9%
Al AhedAl Hikma

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal65%
Al AhedAl Hikma
35%2 goals43%
Al AhedAl Hikma
15%3 goals17%
Al AhedAl Hikma
8%4 goals4%
Al AhedAl Hikma

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time26%
Al AhedAl Hikma
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Al AhedAl Hikma
35%Scored in both halves17%
Al AhedAl Hikma

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Al AhedAl Hikma
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Al AhedAl Hikma
60%BTTS - last 560%
Al AhedAl Hikma

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Al AhedAl Hikma
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Al AhedAl Hikma
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time26%
Al AhedAl Hikma

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Al AhedAl Hikma
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Al AhedAl Hikma
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Al AhedAl Hikma

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ahed is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Al Ahed · 1.3 pts / match - Al Hikma

Al Ahed - half-time state
38% leading35% draw27% trailing
Al Hikma - half-time state
30% leading39% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.3
Al AhedAl Hikma
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.74
Al AhedAl Hikma
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
Al AhedAl Hikma
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.35
Al AhedAl Hikma
62%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Al AhedAl Hikma
54%No goal before half-time52%
Al AhedAl Hikma

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.04
Al AhedAl Hikma
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
Al AhedAl Hikma
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Al AhedAl Hikma
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.26
Al AhedAl Hikma
50%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Al AhedAl Hikma
38%No goal after half-time61%
Al AhedAl Hikma

Al Ahed - second-half results

46% W19% R35% P
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Hikma - second-half results

22% W39% R39% P
30
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Ahed - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.22.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Al Hikma - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Ahed
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
4
6
16-30
6
6
31-45
7
4
46-60
9
7
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Al Hikma
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
6
3
16-30
8
6
31-45
4
3
46-60
6
6
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+49%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Ahed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Al Hikma

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

Al AhedLigaAl Hikma
Average goals in match 2.772.44 2.61
Both teams scored 38%33% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%43% 52%
Clean sheets 38%39% 35%
Goal before half-time 69%57% 65%
Goal after half-time 88%77% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
33%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Al Ahed 1 - 0 - 0 Al Hikma. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Al Hikma
1 : 3
Al Ahed

FAQ

When do Al Ahed and Al Hikma play?

Al Ahed face Al Hikma on 16 June 2026 in Lebanese Premier League at Sour Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahed vs Al Hikma?

Al Ahed score 1.54 goals per game on average and Al Hikma 1.30. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Al Ahed's matches and 43% of Al Hikma's.

What form are Al Ahed and Al Hikma in?

Over the last 5 games Al Ahed have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Hikma 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahed vs Al Hikma?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ahed vs Al Hikma: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.

Al Ahed - Al Hikma - statistical preview | NoFluffPicks Stats