Al Ahli vs Al Najma: match statistics
Al Ahli displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate at home and a +15 goal difference, scoring an average of 2.27 goals per match. The hosts have not lost any home match this season and have scored in every home game. Al Najma is in terrible away form - 82% losses, zero away wins, and a negative goal difference of -15. The visitors in their last five away matches have recorded four defeats and one draw, scoring only 0.64 goals on average per match while conceding 2 goals. The quality gap between both teams is drastic, which is reflected in their league positions (3rd vs 18th) and xG metrics, where Al Ahli dominates both in offense (1.67 vs 1.00) and defense (1.06 vs 1.74). All statistics clearly point to a certain victory for the hosts.
Al Ahli vs Al Najma: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Ahli played against Al Najma in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on February 19, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Al Ahli has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Al Najma has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Ahli scores 1.90 goals per game and allows 0.67. Al Najma scores 0.95 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Al Ahli's games and 67% of Al Najma's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 62%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahli has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.10 per game. Al Ahli takes 13.5 shots per game, while Al Najma takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Ahli leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.24 goals per game after halftime. Al Najma leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Ahli's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Al Najma, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahli displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate at home and a +15 goal difference, scoring an average of 2.27 goals per match. The hosts have not lost any home match this season and have scored in every home game. Al Najma is in terrible away form - 82% losses, zero away wins, and a negative goal difference of -15. The visitors in their last five away matches have recorded four defeats and one draw, scoring only 0.64 goals on average per match while conceding 2 goals. The quality gap between both teams is drastic, which is reflected in their league positions (3rd vs 18th) and xG metrics, where Al Ahli dominates both in offense (1.67 vs 1.00) and defense (1.06 vs 1.74). All statistics clearly point to a certain victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahli | Al Najma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ahli is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Al Ahli · 0.8 pts / game - Al Najma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
1.9 goals / game - Al Ahli · 0.95 goals / game - Al Najma
Al Ahli is 199% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Al Ahli · 2 goals / game - Al Najma
Al Ahli scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Al Najma keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 meczów).
Al Najma scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 57% (12 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahli
Over / Under - Al Najma
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahli is 127% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Al Ahli · 0.67 pts / game - Al Najma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Al Najma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 5%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Ahli
Al Najma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahli | Liga | Al Najma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.57 | 2.93 | • 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 24% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Ahli's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Al Najma. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
The Professional League match finished Al Ahli 4:1 Al Najma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
Al Ahli score 1.90 goals per game on average and Al Najma 0.95. The Professional League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Al Ahli's matches and 67% of Al Najma's.
What form are Al Ahli and Al Najma in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahli have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Al Najma 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
The statistical background for Al Ahli vs Al Najma — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.