Al Ahli vs Al Nassr: match statistics
Al Nassr is showcasing superior form and metrics this season, currently topping the table with a record of 10 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. The visitors boast an 80% win rate in away fixtures, averaging 2.8 goals scored while conceding just 0.6 per game. While Al Ahli is solid at home (50% win rate), they possess notably weaker offensive (1.67 goals avg) and defensive metrics (1 goal conceded avg). Al Nassr's advantage in possession (59% vs 52%), shots on target (7.2 vs 4.67), and xG (2.41 vs 1.56) underscores their dominance. The visitors' form over the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), combined with a 60% clean sheet rate on the road, points to a high probability of victory for Al Nassr in this matchup.
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Ahli played against Al Nassr in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on January 2, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Al Ahli has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Al Nassr has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Ahli scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 0.73. Al Nassr scores 3.18 and allows 0.64. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Al Ahli's games and 55% of Al Nassr's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 73%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Nassr has the higher season xG average, 2.41 to 1.64 per game. Al Ahli takes 13.4 shots per game, while Al Nassr takes 21.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Ahli leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Al Nassr leads at halftime in 64% and scores 2.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Ahli's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Al Nassr, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Nassr is showcasing superior form and metrics this season, currently topping the table with a record of 10 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. The visitors boast an 80% win rate in away fixtures, averaging 2.8 goals scored while conceding just 0.6 per game. While Al Ahli is solid at home (50% win rate), they possess notably weaker offensive (1.67 goals avg) and defensive metrics (1 goal conceded avg). Al Nassr's advantage in possession (59% vs 52%), shots on target (7.2 vs 4.67), and xG (2.41 vs 1.56) underscores their dominance. The visitors' form over the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), combined with a 60% clean sheet rate on the road, points to a high probability of victory for Al Nassr in this matchup.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahli | Al Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Nassr is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Al Ahli · 2.6 pts / game - Al Nassr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr is 134% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Al Ahli · 3.18 goals / game - Al Nassr
Al Nassr is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Al Ahli · 0.64 goals / game - Al Nassr
Al Ahli scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 meczów), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 meczów).
Al Nassr scores in 100% of games (11 of 11 meczów), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahli
Over / Under - Al Nassr
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nassr is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / game - Al Ahli · 2.18 pts / game - Al Nassr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 64% of games and wins 91%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahli | Liga | Al Nassr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.09 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 63% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 56% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 21% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
The Professional League match finished Al Ahli 3:2 Al Nassr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
Al Ahli score 1.36 goals per game on average and Al Nassr 3.18. The Professional League average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Al Ahli's matches and 55% of Al Nassr's.
What form are Al Ahli and Al Nassr in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahli have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Nassr 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.